3 ms·

>Cases have declined in China only because of the extreme measures they undertook to stop it. I mean, you can't really say the author can't assess the situatio

>Cases have declined in China only because of the extreme measures they undertook to stop it. I mean, you can't really say the author can't assess the situation because of a lack of expertise, and then immediately assess the situation with a lack of expertise. I'm assuming that the quarantine helped, but also it might not have helped. That might have just been the natural progression of this disease. We don't know, and you can't claim that as a statement of fact.

moultano 7y ago
> I mean, you can't really say the author can't assess the situation because of a lack of expertise, and then immediately assess the situation with a lack of expertise. This is the assessment of the WHO, not mine. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-chi...
- bjourne 7y ago
  Where in the report does it say that "cases have declined in China ONLY BECAUSE OF the extreme measures"?
  - tlrobinson 7y ago
    "China’s bold approach to contain the rapid spread of this new respiratory pathogen has changed the course of a rapidly escalating and deadly epidemic." "China’s uncompromising and rigorous use of non-pharmaceutical measures to contain transmission of the COVID-19 virus in multiple settings provides vital lessons for the global response." I don't think they could say it much more clearly.
  - Supermancho 7y ago
    > The cordon sanitaire around Wuhan and neighboring municipalities imposed since 23 January 2020 has effectively prevented further exportation of infected individuals to the rest of the country. This makes multiple observations to that end. What you consider "extreme" is a matter of how much you want to troll the topic.
yongjik 7y ago
Considering China has had only ~80k cases, and Wuhan alone has 11M people, it is fair to assume that the disease certainly did not run its natural course.

moultano 7y ago

> I mean, you can't really say the author can't assess the situation because of a lack of expertise, and then immediately assess the situation with a lack of expertise. This is the assessment of the WHO, not mine. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-chi...

bjourne 7y ago
Where in the report does it say that "cases have declined in China ONLY BECAUSE OF the extreme measures"?
- tlrobinson 7y ago
  "China’s bold approach to contain the rapid spread of this new respiratory pathogen has changed the course of a rapidly escalating and deadly epidemic." "China’s uncompromising and rigorous use of non-pharmaceutical measures to contain transmission of the COVID-19 virus in multiple settings provides vital lessons for the global response." I don't think they could say it much more clearly.
- Supermancho 7y ago
  > The cordon sanitaire around Wuhan and neighboring municipalities imposed since 23 January 2020 has effectively prevented further exportation of infected individuals to the rest of the country. This makes multiple observations to that end. What you consider "extreme" is a matter of how much you want to troll the topic.

yongjik 7y ago

Considering China has had only ~80k cases, and Wuhan alone has 11M people, it is fair to assume that the disease certainly did not run its natural course.