5 ms·

If 80% of people who get this are fine, 20% aren’t fine. Some stats suggest 14% severe, 6% ICU. Someone’s going to have to be taking care of all these categor

If 80% of people who get this are fine, 20% aren’t fine. Some stats suggest 14% severe, 6% ICU. Someone’s going to have to be taking care of all these categories of severity. One scenario is home care, with only the severest cases transferred to a medical facility. In that scenario, the “general public” may need to be healthcare providers.

_-___________-_ 7y ago
Where'd you get 80% from?
- adventured 7y ago
  Might be from this: "A total of 81% of cases in the JAMA study were classified as mild, meaning they did not result in pneumonia or resulted in only mild pneumonia. Fourteen percent of cases were severe (marked by difficulty breathing), and 5% were critical (respiratory failure, septic shock, and/or multiple organ dysfunction or failure)." http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-72000-covid-19-patients-finds-23-death-rate http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-720...
  - _-___________-_ 7y ago
    That's 81% of cases though. Cases are a much more restricted set than "people who get this". Many mild infections will never be noticed or recognised as a case.
  - Reelin 7y ago
    The JAMA study [1] is an excellent analysis. However, it in turn was quoting the Chinese CDC statistics dating to February 11th. That dataset is older, fairly small once split into various categories, and likely to heavily skew towards more severe cases given how overwhelmed and underprepared the health system (and everyone else) was early on. [1] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130
im3w1l 7y ago
5% severe was the figure seen for Diamond Princess. It's the most well studied group of people (one of few in which they caught all the asymptomatic and mild cases). People speculate that this is still an overestimate since the cruise may skew old (haven't seen age stats to confirm). It will also be interesting to see where the Korean church goes as they are also being studied carefully.

_-___________-_ 7y ago

Where'd you get 80% from?

adventured 7y ago
Might be from this: "A total of 81% of cases in the JAMA study were classified as mild, meaning they did not result in pneumonia or resulted in only mild pneumonia. Fourteen percent of cases were severe (marked by difficulty breathing), and 5% were critical (respiratory failure, septic shock, and/or multiple organ dysfunction or failure)." http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-72000-covid-19-patients-finds-23-death-rate http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-720...
- _-___________-_ 7y ago
  That's 81% of cases though. Cases are a much more restricted set than "people who get this". Many mild infections will never be noticed or recognised as a case.
- Reelin 7y ago
  The JAMA study [1] is an excellent analysis. However, it in turn was quoting the Chinese CDC statistics dating to February 11th. That dataset is older, fairly small once split into various categories, and likely to heavily skew towards more severe cases given how overwhelmed and underprepared the health system (and everyone else) was early on. [1] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130

im3w1l 7y ago

5% severe was the figure seen for Diamond Princess. It's the most well studied group of people (one of few in which they caught all the asymptomatic and mild cases). People speculate that this is still an overestimate since the cruise may skew old (haven't seen age stats to confirm). It will also be interesting to see where the Korean church goes as they are also being studied carefully.