Currently 355 of 3700 Diamond Petri Dish confirmations, so replace 5.9% with 9.6% so if containment fails it looks like 4.2% * 9.6% = ~ 0.4% of the population

Currently 355 of 3700 Diamond Petri Dish confirmations, so replace 5.9% with 9.6% so if containment fails it looks like 4.2% * 9.6% = ~ 0.4% of the population at large would die.