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>Its also probably harder to hide deaths than recoveries, so the mortality rate is likely lower. 1) you obviously mean Case Fatality Rate, instead of mortality
by DoctorOetker 7y ago
>Its also probably harder to hide deaths than recoveries, so the mortality rate is likely lower.
1) you obviously mean Case Fatality Rate, instead of mortality rate, since the latter is independent of number of recoveries when keeping deaths fixed (unhideable).
2) What would China's motive be to hide recovered infection counts with the result of reporting a higher than truthful case fatality rate? Do you actually believe China wants local panic and fear, or that it actually wants to loose 2% annual productivity per week in quarantine?
- tomlockwood 7y agoCool username! 1) Sure! I don't think that really changes my points though. 2) That's only true if the rate correlates with panic, and if the Chinese government knows that would be the effect. They may be sacrificing panic, over a higher case fatality rate, in order to retain an illusion of competence in identifying and addressing the outbreak. I don't think it'd be out of character for an authoritarian government to care about appearances in that sort of way.
- DoctorOetker 7y agoA pizza a day keeps the doctor away