Wow, people can be spectacularly ignorant of even simpler things like probability: 1) Scientists predicting the probability of an earthquake in a region that j

Wow, people can be spectacularly ignorant of even simpler things like probability: 1) Scientists predicting the probability of an earthquake in a region that just had one. "If it doesn't occur, they'll say it was only a probability, and if it does, they'll claim they predicted it! Stop wasting taxpayer's money on this nonsense!" 2) "My mother chain smoked all her life and she's in her 90's. So smoking doesn't cause cancer."