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Sure, but he's been right on enough deeply contrarian bets that the kind of 'common sense' dismissal we'd apply to most people making the kind of claims he's ma
by SuoDuanDao 7y ago
Sure, but he's been right on enough deeply contrarian bets that the kind of 'common sense' dismissal we'd apply to most people making the kind of claims he's made are clearly the wrong heuristic.
It's not that he's never wrong. It's that how outlandish his statements are is not a good indicator of how likely he is to be wrong.
- Supermancho 7y ago> It's that how outlandish his statements are is not a good indicator of how likely he is to be wrong. What someone considers outlandish, is subjective. By my observation (of topics I think are interesting), he's wrong all the time. Same as Nostradamus, although Musk probably isn't as crazy.