12 ms·

> If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. That's a pretty ridiculous attitude. You're literally talking about Musk like he's a g

• SuoDuanDao 7y ago
  Sure, but he's been right on enough deeply contrarian bets that the kind of 'common sense' dismissal we'd apply to most people making the kind of claims he's made are clearly the wrong heuristic. It's not that he's never wrong. It's that how outlandish his statements are is not a good indicator of how likely he is to be wrong.
  • Supermancho 7y ago
    > It's that how outlandish his statements are is not a good indicator of how likely he is to be wrong. What someone considers outlandish, is subjective. By my observation (of topics I think are interesting), he's wrong all the time. Same as Nostradamus, although Musk probably isn't as crazy.
• keanzu 7y ago
  > You're literally talking about Musk like he's a god or something. There's absolutely the risk, probably already too late for some, of getting into hero worship of Musk. We should definitely steer away from that type of erroneous thinking. If you are playing Kasparov at chess and he appears to have made a beginner blunder so stupid you think him crazy then you are not seeing the full picture. Kasparov makes mistakes and loses matches but never one so serious he could be called "crazy" in the sense that any fool can see the error. Elon Musk is a regular guy, not some kind of superman: he makes mistakes, has limited understanding, and is often wrong - but never would he commit a blunder so severe as to earn the description: "crazy". Something else is going on if it appears crazy, look closer.