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Here you can try to create your own solution to keeping global warming below 2°C: https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?v=2.7.6 https://en-roads

Here you can try to create your own solution to keeping global warming below 2°C: https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?v=2.7.6 https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?v=2.7.... (rabbit hole warning: you can easily spend hours playing with this site) It's not impossible to create solutions that don't require carbon capture, but those tend to have the uncomfortable side effect of raising electricity prices two- or three-fold in the next 20 years. But here is one that I created which keeps the prices stable and also achieves 2 degrees: https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?p1=-1&p7=2&p16=-0.05&p30=-0.05&p39=42&p47=4.2&p50=4.1&p53=3.8&p55=3.8&p57=-8.4&p59=-84&p63=2.2&p64=2.8&p65=85&p67=39&v=2.7.6 https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?p1=-1&...

tito 7y ago
That looks like a powerful tool! I've been on the lookout for something interactive like that for awhile, only saw desktop-based simulators. Nice find, curious where you came across it.
- trickstra 7y ago
  It's also the third generation of their simulator - they've been collecting data and creating tools like this for a bunch of years now: https://www.climateinteractive.org/tools/ https://www.climateinteractive.org/tools/ I just randomly found it in some article about a month ago.
marcosdumay 7y ago
Keep in mind that this simulator is very focused on status-quo. It's not even possible to simulate an exponential curve for solar or a methane catastrophe.
- trickstra 7y ago
  You can change the assumptions under top menu Simulation->Assumptions. Some of them determine how quickly can a technology come to market, how much it makes future improvements cheaper etc. Also here are more detailed explanations and examples of how the model works: https://docs.climateinteractive.org/projects/en-roads/en/latest/guide/renewables.html https://docs.climateinteractive.org/projects/en-roads/en/lat...
  - marcosdumay 7y ago
    Cool, I missed that menu at the time this as posted on HN. One can probably manage to get solar to behave exponentially with this. One can also use it to limit the availability of fossil fuels into more realistic numbers, and increase the effectivity of capture to something that reflects people at least trying. That does allow one to fix the largest issues. But one still has to fix it.

tito 7y ago

That looks like a powerful tool! I've been on the lookout for something interactive like that for awhile, only saw desktop-based simulators. Nice find, curious where you came across it.

trickstra 7y ago
It's also the third generation of their simulator - they've been collecting data and creating tools like this for a bunch of years now: https://www.climateinteractive.org/tools/ https://www.climateinteractive.org/tools/ I just randomly found it in some article about a month ago.

marcosdumay 7y ago

Keep in mind that this simulator is very focused on status-quo. It's not even possible to simulate an exponential curve for solar or a methane catastrophe.

trickstra 7y ago
You can change the assumptions under top menu Simulation->Assumptions. Some of them determine how quickly can a technology come to market, how much it makes future improvements cheaper etc. Also here are more detailed explanations and examples of how the model works: https://docs.climateinteractive.org/projects/en-roads/en/latest/guide/renewables.html https://docs.climateinteractive.org/projects/en-roads/en/lat...
- marcosdumay 7y ago
  Cool, I missed that menu at the time this as posted on HN. One can probably manage to get solar to behave exponentially with this. One can also use it to limit the availability of fossil fuels into more realistic numbers, and increase the effectivity of capture to something that reflects people at least trying. That does allow one to fix the largest issues. But one still has to fix it.