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What we have now is much worse than a housing bubble. We have a severe housing crisis caused by lack of supply, regulation, zoning and thus costs to build. Th
by pascalxus 7y ago
What we have now is much worse than a housing bubble. We have a severe housing crisis caused by lack of supply, regulation, zoning and thus costs to build.
The difference is: Even if no one can afford housing: There doesn't have to be bust. For example: if there's only 9 houses on the market, there only need to be 9 people willing to buy in at that price. So, essentially, with a severe housing shortage, only the richest 0.1% need be able to afford the houses on the market and they can still maintain an extremely high prices.
Meanwhile the coping mechanisms are in full effect:
1. longer and longer commutes causing ever more CO2.
2. multiple generations living together
3. roomates bunking together, not having families, not having kids
4. decreased spending in other areas as every last dollar goes to housing
5. ever more louder cries for rent regulations which makes it even hard to build more supply thus resulting in a death spiral.
- chii 7y agowhile you're speculating, why isn't the true solution of building more dense housing to increase supply in your list?
- tryptophan 7y agoProbably because that's the solution, and not another coping mechanism.
- redisman 7y agoMore and denser and with new public transport to go with the new denser neighborhoods. It's really not a hard problem if you take the city-politics out of it.
- anonymoushn 7y agoI recently read this article about rent control does not reduce the housing supply https://jwmason.org/slackwire/considerations-on-rent-control/ https://jwmason.org/slackwire/considerations-on-rent-control...