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AI languishes and self-driving cars remain highway-only, but self-checkout stations and simple cleaning/stocking bots become more common. Oil companies begin r

by pubby 7y ago

AI languishes and self-driving cars remain highway-only, but self-checkout stations and simple cleaning/stocking bots become more common. Oil companies begin rebranding as energy companies and pour assets into solar and wind. Climate change continues to worsen, with deniers still prevalent. Craigslist gets bought by Facebook. Google tries to get into online shopping, fails. Desktops still on x64. Phones still on ARM, with a few alternatives here and there. Programming language design is stagnant with type theory dead-ending with too much complexity. Most new languages/features designed around convenience. Someone reinvents Make. Someone reinvents C++. A new VM becomes popular, potentially backed by LLVM project. Software continues to get slower, but "high performance computing" takes off as a hiring fad. Marriage rates drop and people realize the damage Tindr is causing. Popular new sites are created with the intent to "fix" dating. Environmental factor of IBS discovered. A professional athlete will die while playing, leading to news about how sports need to be safer. China has money troubles but powers through a long recession. China attempts to "fix" taiwan. Chinese people become even more nationalistic.

williamtetlow 7y ago
> Oil companies begin rebranding as energy companies and pour assets into solar and wind. This is already the case. All the oil majors are now "energy companies".
EamonnMR 7y ago
> Desktops still on x64. Perhaps in the same way that the Apple II is still on the 6502
klntsky 7y ago
> Programming language design is stagnant with type theory dead-ending with too much complexity Interesting. Maybe this will be the case for languages with bad legacy like C++, but the whole design of new type systems? What sources this prediction is based on?
- thu2111 7y ago
  What sources this prediction is based on? Arguably the present. There are hardly any innovations in mainstream PL design, the last one was probably linear typing in Rust. The most successful recent languages are all pretty conservative, in the case of Go extremely so.
ShamelessC 7y ago
> Marriage rates drop and people realize the damage Tindr is causing. Popular new sites are created with the intent to "fix" dating. This has already been going on for a few years. Both Bumble and Hinge make claims to "fix" online dating to be less toxic and result in fewer false positives. Bumble uses the "girls-talk-first" model and Hinge uses the "designed-to-be-deleted" model. I agree though, there's a lot more to be done here. Also, as someone in my early 30s with zero desire to get married, it does kind of tick me off when people suggest it's "causing damage" for others when you don't get married early/at all due to dying cultural norms. But that's a separate conversation.
mvkel 7y ago
> A professional athlete will die while playing, leading to news about how sports need to be safer. This has happened many times during professional bike races. It leads to exactly what you say, people insisting that it get safer, but doing nothing about it.

by pubby 7y ago

williamtetlow 7y ago

> Oil companies begin rebranding as energy companies and pour assets into solar and wind. This is already the case. All the oil majors are now "energy companies".

EamonnMR 7y ago

> Desktops still on x64. Perhaps in the same way that the Apple II is still on the 6502

klntsky 7y ago

> Programming language design is stagnant with type theory dead-ending with too much complexity Interesting. Maybe this will be the case for languages with bad legacy like C++, but the whole design of new type systems? What sources this prediction is based on?

thu2111 7y ago
What sources this prediction is based on? Arguably the present. There are hardly any innovations in mainstream PL design, the last one was probably linear typing in Rust. The most successful recent languages are all pretty conservative, in the case of Go extremely so.

ShamelessC 7y ago

> Marriage rates drop and people realize the damage Tindr is causing. Popular new sites are created with the intent to "fix" dating. This has already been going on for a few years. Both Bumble and Hinge make claims to "fix" online dating to be less toxic and result in fewer false positives. Bumble uses the "girls-talk-first" model and Hinge uses the "designed-to-be-deleted" model. I agree though, there's a lot more to be done here. Also, as someone in my early 30s with zero desire to get married, it does kind of tick me off when people suggest it's "causing damage" for others when you don't get married early/at all due to dying cultural norms. But that's a separate conversation.

mvkel 7y ago

> A professional athlete will die while playing, leading to news about how sports need to be safer. This has happened many times during professional bike races. It leads to exactly what you say, people insisting that it get safer, but doing nothing about it.