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Not sure how your links support your argument. Literacy rate data is from 1994 onwards, steadily up except one hiccup (by the way I can’t imagine how literacy r

by oefrha 7y ago

Not sure how your links support your argument. Literacy rate data is from 1994 onwards, steadily up except one hiccup (by the way I can’t imagine how literacy rate could drop 6% in a year; short of mass extinction of a literate group it must be a change of methodology); life expectancy growth accelerated from ~2000 and is slowing down a bit again; hunger data is from 2000 onwards, same for HDI which you already removed. So, how is GDP per capita, an important metric, “a bit of a exception” among two other random stats (one of which even accelerated)? Meanwhile, annual GDP growth rate does seem a lot more steady since 2004: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=ET https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locat...

yorwba 7y ago
> Literacy rate data is from 1994 onwards, steadily up Supporting the argument, since progress keeps following the trend. > life expectancy growth accelerated from ~2000 and is slowing down a bit again Slight waviness superimposed on the overall trend. > how is GDP per capita, an important metric, “a bit of a exception” GDP per capita had a trend reversal in 2000, unlike the other metrics. > annual GDP growth rate does seem a lot more steady since 2004 Most likely a change in methodology that gives less noisy estimates.
- oefrha 7y ago
  > GDP per capita had a trend reversal in 2000, unlike the other metrics Two other less important and less immediate metrics. The “exception” easily outweigh them both.
  - yorwba 7y ago
    I spent some time browsing the World Bank's data portal and found another metric that shows similar exceptional growth: number of pupils in primary education https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SE.PRM.ENRL?locations=ET https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SE.PRM.ENRL?locations=E... That one takes off in 1993, about a decade before GDP exploded. Maybe the secret to Ethiopia's growth is just that the population became educated enough to do something useful with the money invested by foreign entities?
    - oefrha 7y ago
      Certainly could be.

by oefrha 7y ago

yorwba 7y ago

> Literacy rate data is from 1994 onwards, steadily up Supporting the argument, since progress keeps following the trend. > life expectancy growth accelerated from ~2000 and is slowing down a bit again Slight waviness superimposed on the overall trend. > how is GDP per capita, an important metric, “a bit of a exception” GDP per capita had a trend reversal in 2000, unlike the other metrics. > annual GDP growth rate does seem a lot more steady since 2004 Most likely a change in methodology that gives less noisy estimates.

oefrha 7y ago
> GDP per capita had a trend reversal in 2000, unlike the other metrics Two other less important and less immediate metrics. The “exception” easily outweigh them both.
- yorwba 7y ago
  I spent some time browsing the World Bank's data portal and found another metric that shows similar exceptional growth: number of pupils in primary education https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SE.PRM.ENRL?locations=ET https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SE.PRM.ENRL?locations=E... That one takes off in 1993, about a decade before GDP exploded. Maybe the secret to Ethiopia's growth is just that the population became educated enough to do something useful with the money invested by foreign entities?
  - oefrha 7y ago
    Certainly could be.