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It seems fatalities per 100 million VMT reached a minimum in 2014 (1.08) and has crept back since then [1] (to 1.19 in 2016, 1.13 in 2018), still not much above
by joe_the_user 7y ago
It seems fatalities per 100 million VMT reached a minimum in 2014 (1.08) and has crept back since then [1] (to 1.19 in 2016, 1.13 in 2018), still not much above 2012 levels (1.14). I can only speculate that the decline has to do with more safer models on the road and then distracted drivers perhaps bumped things up very slightly again.
I think most drivers, at least those not always distracted, notice the prevalence of distracted drivers on the road - cars that drive normally and then, say, gradually slow down to well below the speed limit and the speed of traffic. Which is to say, considering how common they are, it's remarkable these drivers don't cause many more accidents - statistics altogether seem to say they don't (correct me if I'm missing something). A factor to consider is that the "not as dangerous as you think" quality of distracted drivers comes because they do drive slowly, slowing traffic and thereby reducing accident totals (years ago, the introduction of the 55 speed limit reduced traffic fatalities a lot, see same wikipedia article).
Basically, the distraction trends seems to have made driving more annoying but not that much more unsafe. Perhaps something still needs to be done but that something might just some warning bells when driver driving outside the norms.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in_U.S._by_year https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in...
- dsfyu404ed 7y agoSeems like most people I observe texting seem to do so at low risk times (e.g. at stop light or in stop and go traffic). People looking at their phones in traffic in areas where "things happen" (pedestrians present, traffic entering, etc.) seem to be much rarer. There's not much opportunity to kill someone accidentally in those kinds of conditions because of the low speed which is probably why those accidents don't show in the death based statistics you're looking at.
- joe_the_user 7y agoYeah, get situations of a traffic light turning green and no body moving - it's incredibly annoying but not at all unsafe. Maybe in the future, traffic can just stop entirely and everyone will virtually work from their phones.
- ummonk 7y agoWell cars have continued getting safer so the distracted driving might be having a large effect that is mostly cancelled out by safer cars.
- Sohcahtoa82 7y agoI'd like to see statistics on collisions per 100 million VMT. Distracted driving might not lead to more fatalities, but I could certainly see them causing more collisions. So many crashes I see on dash cam compilations on YouTube are people using their phone while driving and rear-ending someone at ~20 mph.