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> What are people's predictions for when it will be possible to run some program XYZ on a $10/hr EC2 machine and have it beat humans on the IOI/ICPC ? A chess
by ai_ia 7y ago
> What are people's predictions for when it will be possible to run some program XYZ on a $10/hr EC2 machine and have it beat humans on the IOI/ICPC ?
A chess program can be trained on a EC2 instance that can possibly beat most grandmasters. My best guess, people will get over it and move on to more difficult challenges. The field of AI has a notorious record of shifting goalposts whenever something previously thought unattainable is achieved.
> how long would it take for it to start replacing remote contractors and then in-office programmers?
Although I don't think it's possible to replace "programmers", if such scenario does evolve, we would have
come up with newer jobs that didn't existed before. Podcasting, Youtuber, UX Designers didn't exist 20 years back. Hard to guess what will come forth.
- NieDzejkob 7y agoI'm not sure if you're trying to imply the shifting of goalposts is bad, but it sure does sound like it. I would argue that all of research is like that - once something is achieved, people will want to do better things. After all, it's not an argument.