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Looks like Sam is close to closing at least #1 and #2 on his bets https://blog.samaltman.com/bubble-talk https://blog.samaltman.com/bubble-talk With Gitlab per

• breck 7y ago
  Pretty solid predictions. 1) The below 6 companies will be worth >$200B by 1/1/2020. public: - uber 50 - pinterest 14 - dropbox 8 private: - airbnb 35 - spacex 33 - palantir 26 $166B so very close so far. 2) Stripe, Zenefits, Instacart, Mixpanel, Teespring, Optimizely, Coinbase, Docker, and Weebly will be worth > $27B total by 1/1/2019. Stripe alone was valued at $35B, so this one looks like a lock. 3) Winter 2015 batch will be worth >$3B on 1/1/2020. GitLab $2.7 So looks pretty close. Impressive.
  • edouard-harris 7y ago
    The top 100 list includes 6 other companies from W15 (Equipment Share, RazorPay, Ironclad, GrubMarket, Notable, and Atomwise). So prediction 3) has definitely come true.
• jeffshek 7y ago
  That was interesting! Considering this article was based in 2015 (which feels like forever in startup years). Decided to look up the points. # max(market_cap, enterprise_value) || most_recent_private_valuation Uber - 50bn Palantir - 10bn SpaceX - 40bn AirBnB - 35bn Dropbox - 10bn Pininterest - 10bn 2) Stripe's most valuation is 35 billion 3) GitLab latest's valuation is 2.75 billion