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> "There is no single development, in either technology or management technique, which by itself promises even one order-of-magnitude improvement within a decad
by dkersten 7y ago
> "There is no single development, in either technology or management technique, which by itself promises even one order-of-magnitude improvement within a decade in productivity, in reliability, in simplicity."
I think its important to remember that the statement is rather specific:
"no single development" and "which by itself" -- but there could be many developments, which, together, provide the order-of-magnitude improvement.
"order-of-magnitude improvement" -- but there could be smaller improvements.
"within a decade" -- the improvements may take longer.
I'm pointing this out because incremental improvements can and do occur, there's just no "silver bullet" to fast track the process.
- marcosdumay 7y ago> but there could be many developments, which, together, provide the order-of-magnitude improvement. He says very clearly that this is likely at the remaining of the text. > the improvements may take longer. I imagine the point of posting this on HN nowadays is because in 3 decades there wasn't any. Still, something could appear tomorrow, but I imagine it's very unlikely, for the same reasons that are on the article.