2 ms·

Haha okay, I will probably take that bet! But we need to decide on more specific definitions, as hinted by pingswept. What defines a keyboard, and what defines

by cryptoz 16y ago

Haha okay, I will probably take that bet! But we need to decide on more specific definitions, as hinted by pingswept. What defines a keyboard, and what defines "most people"? Does "keyboard" include both physical and virtual keyboards? Most people on planet Earth, or most people in the USA? Or by income? If we can settle these specifics, I think we should indeed register at longbets.

roadnottaken 16y ago
Maybe we should just do a HN Poll. Note: I'm also betting on the fact that I'll have an extra $1000 by 2031. :)
- roadnottaken 16y ago
  HN Poll: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2076992 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2076992
ronnoch 16y ago
We'll probably still be using some sort of device that involves tapping keys with our fingers. But I'd be very surprised if that device is anything like current keyboards. (And then there's the small chance that brain-computer interfaces will allow us to type with our minds, but I'm not betting on that.)
- roadnottaken 16y ago
  Worth considering that QWERTY keyboards have been the method-of-choice for text-entry for over 100 years. I'm not saying it will last forever, necessarily, but it's a very efficient technique. Call me old-fashioned, but I don't see it being supplanted by voice-transcription or gestures or whatever for a very long time.
  - ronnoch 16y ago
    Agreed. I'm predicting more along the lines of really good on-screen keyboards, or ThinkGeek's laser keyboard (http://www.thinkgeek.com/computing/keyboards-mice/8193/ http://www.thinkgeek.com/computing/keyboards-mice/8193/), or something entirely new but still in that vein. In other words, keeping what works but evolving past the big physical slab of plastic. > Call me old-fashioned, but I don't see it being supplanted by voice-transcription or gestures or whatever for a very long time. Well, we can type way faster than we can talk, so even if voice transcription were perfected, it would still be impractical.

by cryptoz 16y ago

roadnottaken 16y ago

Maybe we should just do a HN Poll. Note: I'm also betting on the fact that I'll have an extra $1000 by 2031. :)

roadnottaken 16y ago
HN Poll: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2076992 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2076992

ronnoch 16y ago

We'll probably still be using some sort of device that involves tapping keys with our fingers. But I'd be very surprised if that device is anything like current keyboards. (And then there's the small chance that brain-computer interfaces will allow us to type with our minds, but I'm not betting on that.)

roadnottaken 16y ago
Worth considering that QWERTY keyboards have been the method-of-choice for text-entry for over 100 years. I'm not saying it will last forever, necessarily, but it's a very efficient technique. Call me old-fashioned, but I don't see it being supplanted by voice-transcription or gestures or whatever for a very long time.
- ronnoch 16y ago
  Agreed. I'm predicting more along the lines of really good on-screen keyboards, or ThinkGeek's laser keyboard (http://www.thinkgeek.com/computing/keyboards-mice/8193/ http://www.thinkgeek.com/computing/keyboards-mice/8193/), or something entirely new but still in that vein. In other words, keeping what works but evolving past the big physical slab of plastic. > Call me old-fashioned, but I don't see it being supplanted by voice-transcription or gestures or whatever for a very long time. Well, we can type way faster than we can talk, so even if voice transcription were perfected, it would still be impractical.