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Here's the study the impact map is based on: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2016.0460 https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.
by leereeves 7y ago
Here's the study the impact map is based on:
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2016.0460 https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2016.046...
The results are from "a new set of climate simulations."
A simulation can easily be wrong. These results say Ireland's GDP growth per capita will be unaffected by climate change and Britain's GDP growth per capita will increase if temperatures rise 2C, but I find it hard to believe these islands wouldn't be hurt.
Why should we trust these maps?
- imtringued 7y agoClimate migration causes population growth which causes GDP growth.
- leereeves 7y agoThe map shows per capita figures, which immigration would probably decrease.
- lasagnaphil 7y ago... and such migration will also probably cause political unrest, which would potentially destabilize Western countries a bit. (We've observed it before with the Syrian Civil War, whether you like those refugees or not, it will probably cause some stur.)