4 ms·

Musk is a huckster. Average car life, depending on what numbers you use, is 12-18 years. There will probably be a 60 year old Tesla when we get there, but ther

by _jal 7y ago

Musk is a huckster. Average car life, depending on what numbers you use, is 12-18 years. There will probably be a 60 year old Tesla when we get there, but there will not be a fleet of them.

jellicle 7y ago
Teslas will probably be the shortest life vehicle on the road. I am not commenting on their quality, but instead the likelihood that Tesla will simply EOL the older vehicles at some point. "It's no longer worth while for us to keep up our original models, so we're turning them all off on January 1, 2021. All owners will receive a $2000 credit toward purchasing a new vehicle....". That's how it goes when you're buying a service rather than an object (see also: DRM books, etc.). CERTAINLY there will never be a 60-year-old Tesla. Can't legally maintain it, can't drive it without Tesla's support, and they won't.
- _jal 7y ago
  > CERTAINLY there will never be a 60-year-old Tesla Yes there will. It will sit in some rich guy's garage, hacked up to function without mothership contact, and specialty publications will publish pictures of it every few years.
  - imtringued 7y ago
    That rich guy will just buy the latest luxury car every 4 years.
- maxsilver 7y ago
  I get your point, most people won't be driving a Tesla in 60 years. But there certainly will be someone who maintains an original 2010s-era Tesla. There are people who still own fully-functional Ford Model T's from ~1910. They are over 100 years old, and they still drive them through the Memorial Day Parade every year.
- Sohcahtoa82 7y ago
  > "It's no longer worth while for us to keep up our original models, so we're turning them all off on January 1, 2021. All owners will receive a $2000 credit toward purchasing a new vehicle....". I'm not sure if this is intended to be hyperbole or just extreme pessimism. If Tesla decided to just "shut off" everyone's car for being too old, they'd be hit with a class-action lawsuit as soon as a lawyer drafted it. At worst, they could decide to stop manufacturing parts, but even that's unlikely, as parts could still be sold for profit to people that need repairs. I know right now there's long waits for replacement parts, but that's due to production prioritizing building more cars to be delivered, not for providing replacement parts.

by _jal 7y ago

Musk is a huckster. Average car life, depending on what numbers you use, is 12-18 years. There will probably be a 60 year old Tesla when we get there, but there will not be a fleet of them.

jellicle 7y ago

Teslas will probably be the shortest life vehicle on the road. I am not commenting on their quality, but instead the likelihood that Tesla will simply EOL the older vehicles at some point. "It's no longer worth while for us to keep up our original models, so we're turning them all off on January 1, 2021. All owners will receive a $2000 credit toward purchasing a new vehicle....". That's how it goes when you're buying a service rather than an object (see also: DRM books, etc.). CERTAINLY there will never be a 60-year-old Tesla. Can't legally maintain it, can't drive it without Tesla's support, and they won't.

_jal 7y ago
> CERTAINLY there will never be a 60-year-old Tesla Yes there will. It will sit in some rich guy's garage, hacked up to function without mothership contact, and specialty publications will publish pictures of it every few years.
- imtringued 7y ago
  That rich guy will just buy the latest luxury car every 4 years.
maxsilver 7y ago
I get your point, most people won't be driving a Tesla in 60 years. But there certainly will be someone who maintains an original 2010s-era Tesla. There are people who still own fully-functional Ford Model T's from ~1910. They are over 100 years old, and they still drive them through the Memorial Day Parade every year.
Sohcahtoa82 7y ago
> "It's no longer worth while for us to keep up our original models, so we're turning them all off on January 1, 2021. All owners will receive a $2000 credit toward purchasing a new vehicle....". I'm not sure if this is intended to be hyperbole or just extreme pessimism. If Tesla decided to just "shut off" everyone's car for being too old, they'd be hit with a class-action lawsuit as soon as a lawyer drafted it. At worst, they could decide to stop manufacturing parts, but even that's unlikely, as parts could still be sold for profit to people that need repairs. I know right now there's long waits for replacement parts, but that's due to production prioritizing building more cars to be delivered, not for providing replacement parts.