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Discounted cash flow analysis is not what is going on here. Looking at it historically, FB went public with a valuation that its web business at the time could
by georgeecollins 7y ago
Discounted cash flow analysis is not what is going on here. Looking at it historically, FB went public with a valuation that its web business at the time could never justify. If you assume people who bought at the price were making a rational calculation, they weren't valuing the business cash flow, they were valuing something else Facebook had. A technical capability, the management, a brand, the things that let them extend their business to mobile messaging and acquire WhatsApp and Instagram. What happened wasn't just cash flow growth. Ditto for Amazon and Google.
I think that is what is going on with Uber. Their current core business will never earn enough to justify their valuations. Investors assume it will add new divisions and capabilities.