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I understand and agree that we don't want knee-jerk reactions on the part of regulators. I'm only an aviation enthusiast and by no means an expert, and fully a
by danepowell 8y ago
I understand and agree that we don't want knee-jerk reactions on the part of regulators.
I'm only an aviation enthusiast and by no means an expert, and fully admit that I could be wrong, and even with my natural inclination to reserve judgement, to me it seems obvious that grounding is warranted purely from a statistic viewpoint.
Compare the release of the 737 MAX 8 with the release of other recent-ish models like the 777 and 787. It was 14 years before the 777 suffered even a single hull loss, and 20 years before a crash of the magnitude of the 737 MAX 8 (loss of all souls). The 787 is almost a decade old and has zero hull losses or fatalities.
The 737 MAX 8 is less than a few years old and already has two catastrophic crashes? I know that it's hard to draw too much information from just two data points, but that's pretty compelling to me.
- kevin_nisbet 8y agoAlso, don't forget that the 787's were also grounded when they were new for their battery problems: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_787_Dreamliner_battery_problems https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_787_Dreamliner_battery_... It's a bit of a different situation, but they were grounded for a problem that I don't believe caused a single fatality, but had more incidents in a shorter time period.
- helaoban 8y agoBy this argument, all Boeing 777s should have been grounded after the loss of Malaysia 370 and Malaysia 17. Same plane, both incidents within 5 months of each other.
- TomVDB 8y agoOnly if you consider the total amount of time during which the plane has been in business an irrelevant detail. Which it is not, of course.
- Tomte 8y agoThat's a deceptive argument. We know the reason why Malaysia 17 was lost. So we positively know that there is no reason to ground them.
- anigbrowl 8y agoIgnoring the fact of MH-17 having been shot down by missile (which took time to prove but was suspected from the outset) really hurts your argument.