3 ms·
> until they have an average subscription cost of $35-40/month That's impossible. 3/4 or more of their total customer base for the future is outside of the US.
by adventured 8y ago
> until they have an average subscription cost of $35-40/month
That's impossible. 3/4 or more of their total customer base for the future is outside of the US. The economic middle 50% and the top 50% of people in Brazil, Indonesia, India, Turkey, Vietnam, Thailand, China, Nigeria, Mexico, Colombia, Russia, Bangladesh, Philippines, Ethiopia, and about 140 other countries - can't and will not pay an average of $35-$40 / month (or say ~$25-$30 if we're assuming an average lifted by higher prices in affluent nations; that requires eg the US market to pay far higher prices beyond $35-$40). Not under any circumstances will any of that happen.
Netflix will be able to raise prices in the non-rich markets (ie most of their customer base of the future) only as economic growth allows for it, both at the global and local levels. Customers in Brazil aren't going to suddenly be able to jump from $5 / month to $25 in the next ten years, no matter how much good content Netflix puts up.
Western European customers, who could largely technically afford $35-$40 per month, will never accept those prices.
Netflix is pushing near the edge of what people will pay right now globally. They can maybe raise prices in the US another 25% over several years before hitting the ceiling in their most lucrative market. The US market represents a rough approximation of their maximum pricing power. There's no scenario where they retain their customer base in the US and charge $35-$40 (unless we're talking about 50 more years of inflation).