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Anecdotally this rings true. However, I could easily see Fortnite being a fad. A year from now, I wouldn't be surprised to see the bulk of Fortnite's audience h
by asaph 8y ago
Anecdotally this rings true. However, I could easily see Fortnite being a fad. A year from now, I wouldn't be surprised to see the bulk of Fortnite's audience having moved on to something else. Remember Candy Crush? Pokémon Go? Words With Friends?
- alkibiades 8y agoThose are all still super huge. Just because they aren't the insane level they were once at doesn't mean they aren't still massive.
- asaph 8y agoI'm not saying Fortnite's audience will shrink to zero. I predict it will shrink though, just like the above mentioned titles that are shells of their former glory. The growth can't last. Maybe I should have said FarmVille or DrawSomething...
- ibra77 8y agoFortnite is a whole other beast, the game is out there for actually more than a year and is still kicking ass and being on top by a margin, none of the above was anywhere similar, and yet, they are still a thing.
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- root_axis 8y agoThat's true of every game and pretty much all of entertainment. Nothing stays popular forever.
- asaph 8y agoSome entertainment transcends time and just grows its audience perpetually. Think Star Wars, The Beatles, James Bond. Some things never go out of fashion.
- root_axis 8y agoI'm not seeing the connection. You are comparing franchines that have been repeatedly rebooted, remixed and recommercialized for decades to a single title released only a couple years ago. None of the things you listed "transcend time" in their original form.
- asaph 8y agoReally? Not even The Beatles? What about Picasso? Bach? Van Gogh? Gershwin? Miles Davis? All timeless. No reboot required.
- z3phyr 8y agoI dont know, they are known, but they are not a craze in the art world now. Nothing remains constant!! I generally interact with a lot of school students. All enjoy the current music, and some adventurous person has to go out of the way to even try the beatles.
- Godel_unicode 8y agoIn my opinion that's because the Beatles aren't actually that good compared with the body of music since. Don't get me wrong, in their day they were ground breaking, but there's a huge difference between newness (or perhaps novelty) and greatness.
- asaph 8y agoLet's agree to disagree on this one. IMO The Beatles' music is a high water mark in popular music unmatched before or since.
- peferron 8y agoIf Fortnite gets replaced by another similarly popular fad after a few years then people still aren't watching Netflix. That's what Netflix has to compete against. I'm quite sure that's how the quote is supposed to be understood—not that Netflix expects Fortnite specifically to be their top competitor for the next decade.
- smokeyj 8y agoWhich is another way to say that Amazon is their competition, considering Twitch's integration with Prime - and Amazons investment into gaming with Lumberyard and AWS. I suspect Unity was acting defensively against AWS with their license change, with Improbable caught up in the middle. Just speculation.
- bhouston 8y agoLumberyard is not that relevant in the gaming industry. And aws has had it for years.
- 0az 8y agoIf I remember correctly, Pokemon Go has pulled over two billion USD in revenue, and is growing. Reports of its demise are certainly premature.
- sincerely 8y agoIn 3 years, people will still be playing Fortnite, but nowhere near in the same quantities as today. I think you're missing the point of the post you're replying to.
- colmvp 8y agoSure but those people will be hooked with another game.
- taurath 8y ago1.4b In 2018 alone - a figure that staggered me
- alasdair_ 8y agoThat is a remarkably large amount of money for a three year old free to play mobile game.
- skinnymuch 8y agoWait it did more in 2018 than 2017?
- skybrian 8y agoAs another example, Minecraft apparently has about 90 million users 7 years after its release. Games for kids get a constant supply of new players, so it could be a fad or not depending on what else catches their attention. As was once said about Hollywood, nobody knows anything.
- soup10 8y agoAll video games have a shelf life. The experience gets stale, the hype dies down and people move on to something else.
- gsich 8y agoWith something else being another game. People don't switch interactive entertainment for non-interactive one.
- peferron 8y agoAre there studies showing that? Switching seems perfectly natural. If a good game comes out I'll play that. If a good TV show comes out I'll watch that. And since my free time is limited, if I pick one it means I'm not doing the other.
- gokhan 8y agoMy 12yo has grown out of Minecraft, but 6yo shows signs of growing interest. This week, she discovered redstone and pressure plates and went automating every door she can find in old builds she normally doesn't care much. Minecraft will have endless supply of users in the future, and when they're done with it, there will always be a next step waiting. That's why Netflix will always have trouble figthing with those.
- gamma-male 8y agoWhy would it be a fad though? League of legends, dota2, cs:go are all going strong
- dymk 8y agoMost things are fads. Few things stay going strong.
- puranjay 8y agoThe problem is that people playing Fortnite today won't move back to just watching Netflix in 3 years. They'll just jump to the next gaming fad
- gsich 8y agoAll those examples are trashy mobile games. They come nowhere near Fortnite in terms of quality and development effort.
- alasdair_ 8y agoEven now both Candy Crush and Pokémon GO are both in the top three mobile games by daily revenue - https://thinkgaming.com/app-sales-data/ https://thinkgaming.com/app-sales-data/
- sergiotapia 8y agoBut it is not the juggernaut it was at it's prime. I'll never forget that 4 to 6 day stretch when you would watch random people playing it on their phones. In parks, malls, supermarkets, Costco! It seemed like everywhere I went there would be at least 6 people playing it. I don't think I ever experienced something like that before. A really visual, tangible fad.
- alasdair_ 8y agoI miss those days, but I am so glad they happened. One of the most important days in my life.
- itronitron 8y agoHytale will pull some players from Fortnite when it is released, although it may not reach the same scale as Fortnite.