A model isn't a crystal ball, it is a way of formally describing something using mathematics. A model could tell you that a specific set of conditions that prec

A model isn't a crystal ball, it is a way of formally describing something using mathematics. A model could tell you that a specific set of conditions that preceded a recession have occurred again. One example of this would be an inverted yield curve.[1] A recession is when an economy declines for at least six months.[2] I guess the best predictor of a recession is 5.5 months of negative growth. 1. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-12-03/u-s-yield-curve-just-inverted-that-s-huge https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-12-03/u-s-yi... 2. https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-a-recession-3306019 https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-a-recession-3306019