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Wait times in the US for the existing models are already low enough that there's basically no backlog. (out of the 420k reservations they had at some point, you

Wait times in the US for the existing models are already low enough that there's basically no backlog. (out of the 420k reservations they had at some point, you can think of it as half those reservations being overseas -- not yet tapped, and of the remaining 210k half or likely more of those are for the 35k version. They've already shipped 91k cars, pretty much only to the US and Canada, so the US/Canada backlog for reservations is mostly new reservations. Also, they don't yet offer a leasing option, which is how most people like to buy cars these days. Either the demand will die down REALLY soon, or not at all. Having seen the effect of someone I know test driving a tesla with no intent to buy, and then complaining about how intensely bad "regular" cars have felt for her since then, if anything sales will grow as more cars are distributed and people's immediate family and friends get to experience the car. In other news, 40% of Europeans said in a recent Ipsos Mori survey that their next car will be electric.[1] In other words, I wouldn't hold my breath that this is going to die down any time soon. [disclaimer: I am a big fat tesla fanboy (if it wasn't obvious) and have bought stock in the company, but I hope I am making the case with logic and data and can be convinced otherwise. That said, my phone background image looks like this: https://i.redd.it/lx9635tjoyf01.jpg https://i.redd.it/lx9635tjoyf01.jpg] [1]:https://www.treehugger.com/cars/europe-40-drivers-say-next-car-will-be-electric.html https://www.treehugger.com/cars/europe-40-drivers-say-next-c...

MBCook 8y ago
The backlog may be down but I’m with the GP that this was probably pent-up demand. I would expect another jump when (if) the fabled $30,000 model comes out. But can they keep up this level of demand for two years? Three years? I’m not so sure. Only time will tell.
- geerlingguy 8y ago
  I’m guessing there is a large market of people like me. Happy with my current middle of the road sedan, just waiting until it starts having major issues before looking at the next car. After test driving a leaf and model S I’ve decided there’s. I way I go for another non-electric, the driving experience is just so much better without the gas engine lag, transmission, noise, muck, maintenance etc. So I’m a few years the 3 will hopefully be cheaper and on my short list of cars to consider... maybe even used!
spectrum1234 8y ago
There is at least a 2 month wait for certain options. White interior, dual motor, red. Source is myself.

MBCook 8y ago

The backlog may be down but I’m with the GP that this was probably pent-up demand. I would expect another jump when (if) the fabled $30,000 model comes out. But can they keep up this level of demand for two years? Three years? I’m not so sure. Only time will tell.

geerlingguy 8y ago
I’m guessing there is a large market of people like me. Happy with my current middle of the road sedan, just waiting until it starts having major issues before looking at the next car. After test driving a leaf and model S I’ve decided there’s. I way I go for another non-electric, the driving experience is just so much better without the gas engine lag, transmission, noise, muck, maintenance etc. So I’m a few years the 3 will hopefully be cheaper and on my short list of cars to consider... maybe even used!

spectrum1234 8y ago

There is at least a 2 month wait for certain options. White interior, dual motor, red. Source is myself.