4 ms·
Well, there has to be an end to exponentially growth somewhere...but I remeber that being preached that Moores Law is ending for years. I recently saw old slide
by LeanderK 8y ago
Well, there has to be an end to exponentially growth somewhere...but I remeber that being preached that Moores Law is ending for years. I recently saw old slides from a professor at my uni from the 2000ers containing the "the end of exponential growth is near!"-like messages.
So I am not sure what to believe.
- cultus 8y agoMoore's law as far as serial performance ended years ago. This means exponential growth has effectively ended for most tasks because of Amhdahl's law.
- gameswithgo 8y agoMoore's law did stop being true right around ~2006. And if you look at overall CPU and memory performance rather than transistor density the story is worse. You haven't been able to count on the computer being twice as fast very soon in a long time.
- takeda 8y agoWhat's nice (at least I like it) is that once performance slowed down, so did software requirements. Developers try a bit harder to optimize their code.
- Symmetry 8y agoSort of. Moore's law has meant a lot of things that were all tied together with transistor scaling back when voltage didn't need to be scaled down with each new node to fight leakage. But now that leakage is a major concern a lot of what would have been the old gains of shrinking a transistor go away. There are gains but they're a lot smaller than they used to be. But the oldest sense of Moore's law of doubling the transistors you can economically fit on a piece of silicon is very much with us. The doubling period has gone back to the original 2 years rather than the 18 months we were able to achieve for a while but it's still happening.