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Or is it possible to reflect inflation and the devaluation of money?
by tudorconstantin 8y ago
Or is it possible to reflect inflation and the devaluation of money?
- adventured 8y agoInflation is always a factor, however Apple's performance is legitimately extraordinary in size for any age. In 1980 GM was considered a monster with $2.8 billion in profit, number two on the Fortune 500 list that year (behind Exxon Mobil). Apple's profit today rolled back to 1980 would be about $16.x billion. Roughly six times that of GM then, and roughly four times that of Exxon, the high mark. Using the BLS inflation adjustment calculator, GM's profit in 1980 is about $9 billion today. That'll get you ranked roughly #25-30 on the Fortune 500 today. #25 in 1980 was Union Carbide at about $550m in profit, or ~$1.75b in today's dollar. That's good for about #200 today. The corporate profit boom isn't primarily an inflation based phenomenon, it's the epic expansion of the global economy and the way the large S&P 500 type firms have benefited in an outsized manner.
- a008t 8y agoWorth noting that the large S&P 500 firms change over time. It has not really been "big corporations getting bigger / having a profit boom", I think.
- votepaunchy 8y agoShould this comparison also account for the growth of the US population and economy? Inflation-adjusted GDP has tripled since 1980 and one would need to adjust the size of the S&P accordingly to make a fair comparison.
- fauigerzigerk 8y agoYou're right, the $1T valuation is neither surprising, considering inflation, nor record breaking as a share of the S&P 500: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-04/apple-s-1-trillion-chase-unprecedented-try-totally-logical https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-04/apple-s-1... And I think that's why the NYT article quickly moves on from its clickbait headline (they had to put that number up there!) to far more interesting comparisons.
- YokoZar 8y agoOr any other reason why Apple might delay dividend payments. Other companies could have hit a trillion sooner if they hoarded cash like a dragon or only did buybacks.
- scarface74 8y agoApple has been paying dividends since 2012. http://investor.apple.com/dividends.cfm http://investor.apple.com/dividends.cfm
- mkirklions 8y agoThis is why I dont consider Bitcoin a risky investment anymore. I can see the inflation around me. Historically and currently countries have an economic crisis where the government has hyperinflation. Id rather have gold than government money.