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This is a matter of "the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." In the long run, STEM is going to become increasingly niche, STEM is
by vinceguidry 8y ago
This is a matter of "the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
In the long run, STEM is going to become increasingly niche, STEM is the industry that eats its young. Not too long ago, it was possible to make a lucrative career out of non-coding front-end, meaning a design focus with no javascript. Those days ended a few years ago.
You can't expect your job to remain stable if you go into anything STEM, unless you move up the value chain to underlying tech, where living-wage jobs are as rarefied as million-dollar, you're literally a rockstar, contracts / jobs. My dream job here is to actually get paid $X00,000 to work on Rails. Not implementing Rails, developing Rails.
This is a pattern that replicates all across STEM. In the humanities, all sustainable jobs are equivalent to my dream Rails gig. Out of hundreds of people who want a salaried anthropology job, only a handful are going to earn them, because the economics just favor STEM at the moment.
But eventually the mid-level market for all STEM jobs is going to dry up. Whatever obsession society has for engineering is going to pass, and then engineering is going to look like the humanities, and the humanities is going to find purchase with all the new technology that we're building and that's where the jobs will go.
Which is a grand shame. Humans shouldn't be so laser-focused on the mother-loving present all the freaking time. It's going to take the web world another 5-10 years to realize that the obsession it's been nurturing over Javascript is ridiculous and that Rails really did do it right. Web assembly is a solution in search of a problem, and native is eventually going to find its sea legs. React is okay but its successor will be better, my guess is that CSS is going to be seen as the bottleneck and the new React will do what React did, only with a management paradigm for styling. The focus on ES6 will die out and decent language design is going to one day win out over that ugly pile of hacks.
Once the development community realizes all of this, and thousands of other lessons that are essentially variations on the same theme of timelessness, then the focus will shift on the people actually creating the meaning and value that people want out of life. Young people who want to rap will, well, rap. The marketplace of ideas will cease to be dependent on the technical ability of creators because STEM will have long eaten its young and has fully professionalized and turned into Hollywood.
Every industry will eventually be Hollywood. It's just a question of how well they manage that mid-level market. Hollywood has a guild system. We feel we're too good for that.
- nradov 8y agoWhy would an employer pay you to contribute to Rails when so many others are willing to do it for free? In the end it's just another framework; it works well enough but not really superior to the numerous alternatives.
- vinceguidry 8y agoRails gets lots of corporate sponsorship, not nearly as much as React, but it's there. So do all the big, useful open-source libraries. Some companies are even willing to pay you a full-time salary to work 20% of your time on their business interests and allowing you to spend your other 80% of your time on framework dev. Open source and the tech world would really, really suck without the generosity of business.
- reducesuffering 8y agoYou might want to take a look at the tech stacks, where they've been and where they're going, of the world's most lucrative and innovative companies before you decry that Rails really did do it right instead of js.
- vinceguidry 8y agoI could care less what the big companies are doing, eventually the world will move on from them and they will no longer define the course of society, or even our little sector of it.