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I've seen that used to sell a lot of cheesy "online trading school" e-courses but I can't speak to whether that was what ultimately drove him to make the trade.
by pembrook 8y ago
I've seen that used to sell a lot of cheesy "online trading school" e-courses but I can't speak to whether that was what ultimately drove him to make the trade.
This article seems to suggest Jones got the idea from a guy named Robert R. Prechter using Elliot Wave Theory:
https://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/13/business/13speculate.html https://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/13/business/13speculate.html
Prechter called the '87 crash using wave theory, but he also called for "the end of the great bull market" in 1995. Which was 5 years too early (ie. flat out wrong).
The lesson here is there's always somebody calling for the next collapse. When it inevitably happens each time, there's always a fresh stock of people you can point to who "called it." Whether this is genuine smarts or just random probability, is questionable.
- melling 8y agoYes, i’m not sure how you’re suppose to use Elliot Waves but in the movie they compared charts to the Great Depression era.
- perl4ever 8y ago"Prechter called the '87 crash using wave theory, but he also called for "the end of the great bull market" in 1995. Which was 5 years too early (ie. flat out wrong)." He was in good company though - Greenspan's comment about "irrational exuberance" was in 1996, when the Nasdaq was around 1300 compared to its peak over 5000.