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He wrote a great book "Silicon Snake Oil" that is full of things just like this he was so very wrong about, it's a great read still. He complains about how bad
by blakesterz 8y ago
He wrote a great book "Silicon Snake Oil" that is full of things just like this he was so very wrong about, it's a great read still. He complains about how bad things were in the late 90s, but somehow misses how things will get better. It's really worth reading.
Somewhere there's a great review, written somewhat recently, on all the things he had wrong. I can't seem to find the one I'm thinking of. I guess he was correct about how things on the web are never permanent.
- anoncoward111 8y agoWell, much like in buying options, you have to guess both the outcome of a bet and the time at which it happens. The author right, in 2003, I doubt you saw many people reading books on the beach with a clunky laptop or whatever version of kindle existed back then. So, from the mid 90s to mid 2000s, the author was decidedly right for 10 whole years, which is a long time. Now, if he continued to say that not many people would read ebooks on the beach from 2008-2018, he would have been wrong about that bet. But I doubt he would have felt that way, because by 2008, it was much clearer where the internet was headed compared to in 1998
- ghaff 8y agoAnd, on still the other hand, I daresay a lot of the books read on a beach are still in dead tree form. Not that I really sit around beaches reading much, but I'd probably take a paperback over a Kindle for a variety of reasons.
- jghn 8y agoI remember at the time he was always touted as a "futurist", but he didn't ever seem to get the "future" part of that word