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Self driving strikes me as a technology with a hard boolean quality threshold. Either it is as good as a human or it just doesn't work. This is a lot like rock
by api 8y ago
Self driving strikes me as a technology with a hard boolean quality threshold. Either it is as good as a human or it just doesn't work.
This is a lot like rocketry. A rocket that meets 95% of its design requirements explodes, crashes, or fails to reach the proper orbit. Its damn near 100% or failure. Too bad Elon can't see this.
I think Tesla's obsession with autopilot is misplaced. Give me a solid reliable affordable EV with good range. Autopilot would be nice but only if it works. I can wait for that. But a solid EV is something I'm actually more excited about believe it or not.
I'm sort of afraid Tesla will throw the whole game in pursuit of self driving tech.
- tim333 8y agoElon's argument is that it meets your hard boolean quality threshold and is as good as a human, and he's aiming for 10x lower accidents than humans. That may not be true but that's what he's going for.
- prawn 8y agoI think he can see it, but the first seriously solid entrant into the space is going to have a huge advantage and so that drives their interest in Autopilot. Eventually, you're not marketing to consumers but to fleet owners. Outside of that, he's in the grey area where he can build product excitement and fall back onto the "Keep your hands on the wheel" type of fineprint. I agree with those saying that it's far from ideal.