5 ms·
Where does the number “10 years” come from? 5 seems plausible to this non-domain expert
by sebleon 8y ago
Where does the number “10 years” come from? 5 seems plausible to this non-domain expert
- IshKebab 8y ago5 is maybe doable in a limited context, e.g. in residential neighborhoods of American cities. No way for the rest of the world though. The road systems are too complicated.
- skybrian 8y agoSeems like that's plenty enough to be a large and growing business, though?
- s73v3r_ 8y agoSnow.
- 0xffff2 8y agoNot even. We are at least 5-10 years away from operational fully autonomous cars being used in production in the bay area. There's really no timeline at all for when we might have an operational autonomous car that can handle driving conditions more severe than light rain.
- yawz 8y ago10 is optimistic IMHO. The popular 80/20 rule is at work here. It's going to take a lot of time to get the rest 20% right. For example, how long it's going to take to solve the driving on the snowy roads?
- rconti 8y agoI, for one, have never taken a Lyft from San Francisco to Tahoe. "On the roads" doesn't mean "Every single road in every single market around the globe"