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Most software excels in a single domain: driving, flying, recording, parsing, etc. I think AI being smarter than us in a single domain like investing is feasib
by everdev 8y ago
Most software excels in a single domain: driving, flying, recording, parsing, etc.
I think AI being smarter than us in a single domain like investing is feasible. But to be smarter than us in all domains, even parenting, love, intuition, etc. sounds infinitely more challenging.
I think AI is usually thought of in terms of solving computationally-heavy or data-heavy problems. But to be "smarter than us", it would need to be better at emotional, conversational and relational problems as well.
- z3t4 8y agoLets use IQ as definition of intelligence, whether you agree that an IQ test is a good test for intelligence or not. I actually think it's doable to make a neural net that learns IQ tests, that will become better then the average human, then, by definition, is the "AI" more intelligent ?
- icc97 8y ago> is the "AI" more intelligent? The issue with this is the different meanings of intelligence, pimarily 'hard is easy' (chess, go, IQ) vs 'easy is hard' (walking, balance, seeing) test. Once AI robots can win the Champions league at football (soccer) I'll be more impressed.
- AnimalMuppet 8y agoI can make a robot that will at least tie at Champions league. It would be pretty big, though - exactly the size of the net opening. Obviously, it would play goalie...
- everdev 8y agoOr raise a good kid
- daveguy 8y agoShoot, I'd be impressed if someone could build a robot that lasts an entire game and is agile and light enough to guarantee there wouldn't be multiple broken bones on the opposing team every game.
- nradov 8y agoInvesting is not even remotely a single domain, unless you constrain it down to something fairly trivial like making minority investments in publicly traded US common stocks where being smarter doesn't really count for much. There is so much trading activity now that the markets have become quite efficient. In order to consistently generate alpha as an investor like Warren Buffet you need access to material nonpublic information (proprietary research), or some form of structural advantage. Those things require a huge range of human skills, not just raw smarts.
- justboxing 8y ago> material nonpublic information (proprietary research) Agreed. Insider Trading.
- nradov 8y agoDoing your own research isn't insider trading unless you get it from an insider.