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The problem is not delivering the first units, but ramping up production to what they need to sell half a million cars. Tesla built 2000-odd cars in Q4; for co
by jpatokal 9y ago
The problem is not delivering the first units, but ramping up production to what they need to sell half a million cars. Tesla built 2000-odd cars in Q4; for comparison, Toyota pumps out around 14,000 cars every day.
- adventured 9y agoThat 2,000 number isn't meaningful to where they're at now, which is closer to 1,000 per week, or 12,000 per quarter. That should continue to gradually climb as the year goes. 24,000 in the last quarter of the year would be a solid goal. At 50,000 units in the first year, it would be one of the most successful first year model vehicles in recent automotive history. At 100,000 units the second year, it would be one of the most successful luxury sedans on the planet.
- s2g 9y agoAnd at 7 billion Elon becomes the god king. At 15 billion people are wondering where all the cars are coming from. At 70 trillions it’s pretty much just cookie clicker.
- cjhopman 9y agoBut, in its first year it wasn't 50000, it was less than 3000. Even if you count full year since release, it looks like it's going to be closer to 20000 than 50000. Tesla claimed they'd produce as many as 200000 Model 3s in 2017 and 400000 in 2018. Restricting to "first year model vehicles" is silly and seemingly completely ignores how automobile companies work.