24 ms·
The MLB might be well-advised to accept this analysis (together with FiveThirtyEight's previous analysis suggesting that the rest of the uptick might be explain
by mannykannot 9y ago
The MLB might be well-advised to accept this analysis (together with FiveThirtyEight's previous analysis suggesting that the rest of the uptick might be explained by an increase in batters swinging upwards), as one alternative putative explanation for this uptick would be that there has been a development of new and undetectable methods of doping.
- maxerickson 9y agoIt's just speculation, but I would not be at all surprised if there are protocols designed to maintain HGH and testosterone near the allowed limits. Combine that with moderate improvements in training and there you go, 35 year olds that can train like they are 20.
- adventured 9y agoWhile last year didn't see particularly outsized top end homerun figures (like the old steroid days), the increase in the huge number of people hitting 20 and 30 or more homeruns is interesting. That plays to the notion of what you mentioned about staying near limits, as a lot of people saw a lift; alternatively, the ball is juiced. Stanton and Judge hitting 50+ is very odd historically as well. 2010: 18 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 77 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2011: 24 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 68 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2012: 27 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 79 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2013: 14 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 80 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2014: 11 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 57 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2015: 20 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 64 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2016: 38 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 111 players hit >= 20 homeruns. 2017: 41 players hit >= 30 homeruns. 117 players hit >= 20 homeruns. Something substantial changed in 2016.