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This is assuming everyone who acquired BTC held on to them to this point, I very much doubt that's the true for any scenario you mentioned except the MtGox. Al

This is assuming everyone who acquired BTC held on to them to this point, I very much doubt that's the true for any scenario you mentioned except the MtGox. Also 650k BTC - could you ever cash that out at anywhere close to current price :|

adventured 9y ago
> Also 650k BTC - could you ever cash that out at anywhere close to current price Instead you might cash it out at several times greater than the present price in a few years. It would be easy to drip 10k BTC into the market and liquidate several hundred thousand coins over the next year.
- rubber_duck 9y ago
  >drip 10k BTC into the market and liquidate several hundred thousand coins over the next year. Really ? You could put 10k BTC on sell side per day and the market wouldn't collapse in a week or two ? From what I can see on this exchange : https://www.bitstamp.net/market/tradeview/ https://www.bitstamp.net/market/tradeview/ You could push it below 2k$ with less than 10k BTC, I'm assuming there are bigger exchanges - I'm not following BTC close - is there an aggregate of exchange bids on big exchanges ?
  - captainmuon 9y ago
    Could you crash the market a bit, buy a lot of BTC, and then wait for it to recover again? I wonder if that would be a zero-sum game or if you could gain from such a cycle. E.g. I'm not sure if the price adjustment is instantaneous, or follows with a lag (in which case you could certainly make money). Also, it might be very hard to move large amounts anonymously onto an exchange, and if you did that (even assuming they couldn't trace the BTC to your nefarious origin, or they are clean), I'm sure you are violating some market manipulation law somewhere.
    - rubber_duck 9y ago
      >and then wait for it to recover again If you demonstrated you could do this once - why would it ever recover ? Who would invest in it again ? Especially with so many altcoins.
  - zazpowered 9y ago
    They could use something like https://cumberlandmining.com/ https://cumberlandmining.com/ and not affect the markets
captainmuon 9y ago
Shouldn't we be able to see on the blockchain if these coins have been spent again? That would be interesting to see. Also, I would not know what to do with 650k hot bitcoin. I think nobody is currently tracking "taint" and would refuse tainted BTC. But I would have trouble liquidating much less. It seems even the anonymous "guy in the park" wants to see documentation nowadays. Governments have really stepped up their anti-laundering game.

adventured 9y ago

> Also 650k BTC - could you ever cash that out at anywhere close to current price Instead you might cash it out at several times greater than the present price in a few years. It would be easy to drip 10k BTC into the market and liquidate several hundred thousand coins over the next year.

rubber_duck 9y ago
>drip 10k BTC into the market and liquidate several hundred thousand coins over the next year. Really ? You could put 10k BTC on sell side per day and the market wouldn't collapse in a week or two ? From what I can see on this exchange : https://www.bitstamp.net/market/tradeview/ https://www.bitstamp.net/market/tradeview/ You could push it below 2k$ with less than 10k BTC, I'm assuming there are bigger exchanges - I'm not following BTC close - is there an aggregate of exchange bids on big exchanges ?
- captainmuon 9y ago
  Could you crash the market a bit, buy a lot of BTC, and then wait for it to recover again? I wonder if that would be a zero-sum game or if you could gain from such a cycle. E.g. I'm not sure if the price adjustment is instantaneous, or follows with a lag (in which case you could certainly make money). Also, it might be very hard to move large amounts anonymously onto an exchange, and if you did that (even assuming they couldn't trace the BTC to your nefarious origin, or they are clean), I'm sure you are violating some market manipulation law somewhere.
  - rubber_duck 9y ago
    >and then wait for it to recover again If you demonstrated you could do this once - why would it ever recover ? Who would invest in it again ? Especially with so many altcoins.
- zazpowered 9y ago
  They could use something like https://cumberlandmining.com/ https://cumberlandmining.com/ and not affect the markets

captainmuon 9y ago

Shouldn't we be able to see on the blockchain if these coins have been spent again? That would be interesting to see. Also, I would not know what to do with 650k hot bitcoin. I think nobody is currently tracking "taint" and would refuse tainted BTC. But I would have trouble liquidating much less. It seems even the anonymous "guy in the park" wants to see documentation nowadays. Governments have really stepped up their anti-laundering game.