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For Chinese Home Buyers, Seattle Is the New Vancouver
- partycoder 9y agoReal state seems to be a preferred way to stash money overseas. Vancouver is full of homes without occupants in them because of this reason. They're now trying to mitigate the problem by applying a high tax penalty for home owners that keep their house without occupants, making it inefficient to buy houses to keep them vacant. They also do it domestically, but leading to ghost towns.
- spoonie 9y agoI wonder if this is because you can get around money laundering/financial control laws when buying a house for cash? Do the sellers have to check where your money is from when you buy a house?
- toomuchtodo 9y agoIt's because it's a safe value/wealth store. And the checks are superficial.
- partycoder 9y agoIf you are a Chinese communist party official technically you decide what is legal.
- partycoder 9y agoIf you are a Chinese communist party official technically you decide what is legal.
- redahs 9y agoA more comprehensive solution would be to eliminate all other taxes and fund all public services from taxes on land. This naturally incentives local ownership because owners of high demand locations do not receive a benefit from the high taxes they are assessed to pay for public services for residents unless they actually live there.
- deleted 9y ago[deleted]
- thegayngler 9y agoMaybe there needs to be tighter controls over who is allowed to purchase real estate and under what circumstances they can purchase real estate....ie you must be a citizen of the US to purchase real estate in the US. I know this is going to be down voted but I think its perfectly reasonable. People are living on the streets yet there are empty homes available that aren't for sale and artificially propping up home values in the area because someone from overseas needed somewhere to hide their cash.
- downrightmike 9y agoEven the low value, or in foreclosure homes are being snapped up; just by the big banks. Who then rent them and sell that rent money as a new subprime asset. Its the subprime mortgage crisis all over again, except shareholders will get the mortgages given up as collateral.
- icebraining 9y agoWhat about companies? Also, what if they enter a contract with an US citizen under which the house is owned by such citizen, but the proceeds of all rentals and sale are to be passed back to the foreign citizen?
- sytelus 9y agoWhen I first learned that land in US and many other countries can be purchased by anyone in the world, it was mind boggling for me from pure theoretical perspective (actually many government even encourages that). Currently, you need about 3-5 million votes to swing US elections in the desired direction. Now median house price in US is just under $200K. So in theory you can purchase roughly 5 million houses in swing counties for total cost of less than $1T and either leave them vacant or rent out to only people who aligns with your agenda. That's actually not a very large amount to spend over few years when your ROI is literally the ability to control US politics and trade policies almost indefinitely. In theory, foreign power with deep pockets can buy up large swaths of important land and establish local governments and population that eventually can tilt national politics and policies in desired way. This becomes more and more easier as elections in lot of developed countries often decided by thin margins from very predictable geographical locations. I am not saying this is happening but at least in theory it's possible to design full on economic attack on any country with such laws. Imagine what kind of havoke a foreign government can create if they buy up all aggreculture land and control food prices in peace times and famines in war times. Or buy up key commercial estates critical to producing energy or real estate for even just simple daily needs like gas stations or grocery stores.
- api 9y agoSeattle will have to follow suit after Vancouver.
- vmarsy 9y ago> The tax applies to anyone who isn’t a citizen or permanent resident of Canada and purchases a home in metro Vancouver. I feel they could simply apply the same tax to non US citizens/permanent residents trying to purchase a home in the Seattle area. The idea of a vacancy tax seems hard to apply while respecting people privacy. If the owner is a non citizen who doesn't live in the US, you can use immigration records to know of his presence, and they he/she can show rent documents to prove if the house was occupied. But this looks like it would be hard to enforce. It's interesting to see how other cities are tackling the issue, Paris bumping up the tax to 60% of the fair market value of rent for instance : http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-07/vacant-homes-are-global-epidemic-and-paris-fighting-it-60-tax http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-07/vacant-homes-are-gl... This lost also shows that while Vancouver is high on the list, San Francisco and NYC are higher.
- uiri 9y agonon US citizens/permanent residents Why not just apply to it to non-resident aliens (a federal income tax status) rather than to people who aren't US citizens or permanent residents (which is related to nationality/immigration status). All US citizens are tax resident. All permanent residents are resident aliens. However, by defining things this way, you are excluding people who are living in the US on a temporary work visa (e.g. H-1B, TN, L-1, etc.) and other temporary residents who are, nonetheless, very much resident in the US, in that they spend over 183 days in a year (or more than 4 months per year averaged over 3 years; the rules are kind of complicated) in the US.
- vmarsy 9y agoYeah, it could make sense apply it to only "non resident for tax purposes" (i.e. People filling a 1040NR) As other comments mentioned, a tax like this should also affect rich citizens who similarly contribute to vacant houses, so to actually solve the problem I guess it should affect all property owners
- geppeto 9y agoI don't think the US constitution would allow for that tax, written that way anyway. To pass a court challenge, the laws as written and the discussions around them have to apply to everyone otherwise it would be too discriminatory (5th amendment equal liberty clause, & 14th amendment equal protection clause). Maybe you could write it as all homebuyers in that jurisdiction being subject to the tax, and then its tiered for certain variables.
- 99_00 9y agoNot even close. You can live in Vancouver and fully enjoy the city without ever having to speak a word of English. The signage and announcements at YVR are in Chinese. https://c1.staticflickr.com/4/3304/4556712750_a4470bfb56_z.jpg https://c1.staticflickr.com/4/3304/4556712750_a4470bfb56_z.j... Chinese grocery stores are common in the city and many suburbs. You can easily find mandarin speakers at most banks. Chinese signage and mandarin staff are common in malls, especially luxury goods. And if you get permanent residence healthcare is free. Just don't declare your foreign income. Everyone's doing it. http://vancouversun.com/life/richmond-3-why-does-upscale-neighbourhood-appear-poor-to-tax-officials http://vancouversun.com/life/richmond-3-why-does-upscale-nei...
- krrrh 9y agoYou don't even need permanent residence to get free healthcare. Just legal residence for 3 months does the trick.
- chenster 9y agoCan you back this up with your source?
- krrrh 9y agoMy language could have been more clear. They state at the top of the page that you have to be "admitted for permanent residence" if you are not a citizen. However other visa situations also qualify [1]: > Certain other individuals, such as some holders of study and/or work permits, or working permits on working holiday programs — which are issued under the federal Immigration and Refugee Protection Act and are valid for a period of six or more months — may be deemed residents. Tourists or visitors to B.C. do not qualify. I was thinking especially of the university students I know who got MSP cards after being in BC for a few months on student visas--they are actually required to enrol [2]. Incidentally, there was a thing in the media about the number of owners of multi-million dollar homes in Vancouver who listed their profession as "student" [3]. Working holiday visas are typically only for 1 year, and they also qualify. You might think that a lot of young people who need elective surgery would take advantage of the working holiday visa programs, but the waiting times for most specialties would make it a gamble to get anything done in the 9 months they'd have coverage (I'm not entirely joking). If you're curious what happens while waiting to become eligible, private insurance companies offer a standard insurance package called "Visitors to Canada" insurance ($200-$500 CAD for 3 months depending on deductible and whether you need coverage for a "stable" pre-existing condition). Visitor to Canada insurance is also what you need to buy if you're a Canadian who has lived abroad and need to cover the gap before you can re-enroll, though it is not a mandate, and technically under the Canada Health Act they can't refuse to treat you if you are a citizen. I have heard that a citizen or lawful resident can refuse to pay a bill even if you are not enrolled and nothing will happen, but that may also be an urban legend. One other point of clarification, since it confuses people to no end. Each province administers its own program. Three provinces (of ten) collect health care "premiums" on those who have income levels to support it: BC, Alberta, and Ontario. The premiums are not paying the cost of health insurance by any stretch, they are a poorly designed and administered poll tax that shares a name with the health care programs. This bothers me constantly when Americans who have moved to BC harp on about how "health insurance" only costs $75 a month in Canada, because the vast majority of the costs are paid through other revenues. Eliminating premiums is an issue in tomorrow's BC election. [1] http://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/health/health-drug-coverage/msp/bc-residents/eligibility-and-enrolment/are-you-eligible http://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/health/health-drug-coverag... [2] https://students.ubc.ca/health-wellness/health-insurance/health-insurance-details-international/medical-services-plan-msp-international https://students.ubc.ca/health-wellness/health-insurance/hea... [3] http://globalnews.ca/news/2968607/new-numbers-show-multi-million-dollar-homes-in-vancouver-bought-by-low-income-buyers/ http://globalnews.ca/news/2968607/new-numbers-show-multi-mil... EDIT: Added some more information about how health care premiums work for the sake of posterity.
- jroseattle 9y agoWe have seen the effect of foreign investment in Seattle real estate, but this has been happening a lot longer than the tax actions taken in Vancouver.
- pfarnsworth 9y agoHong Kong and China has a similar restrictions or tax on non-citizens who attempt to buy property in China. China in fact disallows non-residents from purchasing real estate until they've lived there for a certain period of time. I'll be curious as to see how this affects Vancouver real estate prices. Right now it doesn't seem to have had a huge effect, but if the market crashes, it will be very interesting to watch to see how it ends up. Real estate there has been going straight up for so long, it's a way of life for 2 generations who have never seen a major crash. I wonder if the market does crash, it will shake out the way the dotcom bust did, where people kept buying because they thought "it's on sale" but it never reached a bottom until so many people lost so much money.
- eigenvector 9y agoThe Chinese consul in Vancouver actually criticized the Canadian government for doing too little to regulate the housing market. She even suggested a tax on foreign buyers to quell some of the public outrage about housing prices. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/the-market/chinese-envoy-says-lack-of-oversight-behind-vancouvers-house-price-crisis/article25085285/ http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/the-market/chines...
- lawnchair_larry 9y agoI actually heard a Chinese investor, active in the market, talking about how stupid the Canadian government is to allow him to do what he does. He was basically boasting that he will keep it going as long as he is allowed, and that the new regulations are weak and ineffective if you can afford a decent lawyer. In other words, "don't hate the player, hate the game." Seattle will probably be too slow to react and end up in the same situation, but maybe it will get the attention of other cities/states before it becomes a problem.
- sytelus 9y agoSo how does this work and why does it make sense at all? I am assuming Chinese investors aren't getting citizenship just because of their real estate purchase. At least US laws require at least $1M investment ($500K for special projects) and most houses in Seattle are below that mark. So now you as Chinese investor have an expensive property in a foreign country where you can't live permanently and very likely you have little information on purchase itself. Sure you can rent out using some management company and bet on appreciation but it's still a lot of risk considering you have little control and information over property management, local events and economics. Plus real estate markets have long history of downturns and non-liquidity in times when you need the most. Wouldn't buying S&P500 index or something for long term would be a far better investment choice? Or just REIT funds if you just want to bet on real estate? Or is there some hidden economics involved that we don't know of?
- kinkrtyavimoodh 9y agoI am sure there are businesses whose sole job it is to manage these properties on behalf of their owners for a fee. Considering that they are buying property in usually lawful places where the chances of someone usurping your property from you (or illegally squatting on it) are low, I think they don't have much cause for worry.
- Buge 9y agoIt makes no sense from a money making standpoint. But they're not doing it to make money. They're doing it as a backup in case something goes bad in China. It's like insurance. Also a nice place to stay while in the US for short periods.
- eigenvector 9y agoCan't speak to the US situation, but here in Canada there are anti-money laundering "know your client" rules for securities brokers - and securities are far more regulated in the US than Canada (Canada has no equivalent of the SEC). You can't just buy millions of dollars of publicly-traded securities through an anonymous shell corporation. No such rules exist for housing that is purchased outright and not financed. These people don't want an investment, per se. They need to store the money, but also to hide it. If the beneficial ownership of the assets purchased with the money is obscured, they can't be clawed back if they are arrested in China and charged with stealing that money in the first place.
- jpatokal 9y agoActually, Sydney has been the new Vancouver for quite some time now. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-03-24/why-chinese-investors-keep-buying-australian-property/8385174 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-03-24/why-chinese-investors-...
- eigenvector 9y agoI thought Vancouver was the new Sydney/Melbourne, with the capital influx to Vancouver spurred in part by Australian government controls on foreign home buying.
- jaimex2 9y agoYep, our housing affordability is pretty much hosed because of it.
- leemailll 9y agoIt is the other round. Sydney is a hot place for chinese migration years before Vancouver
- bryanlarsen 9y agoSignificant Chinese immigration to Sydney started in the 1840s and to Vancouver in the 1850s. While you're technically correct, I would call that contemporaneous. :)
- scottmcdot 9y agoAnyone know where to get juwai.com search volume data?
- RandyRanderson 9y agoThis article couldn't be farther from the truth. The graph at the top shows some ridiculous "searches" bar graph. Once Seattle's had 25%+ average growth in housing prices for several years coupled with absolutely no economic basis to support such a trend, then we can start a discussion.