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This is NOT a good thing. Producing the same amount or less with more resources is generally considered a very very bad thing. It is the definition of being les
by jnordwick 10y ago
This is NOT a good thing. Producing the same amount or less with more resources is generally considered a very very bad thing. It is the definition of being less efficient..
- vincentperes 10y agoenvironmental impact should be taken into consideration, it's most probably a good move for future generation
- jnordwick 10y agoOf course, but that it takes more people is a net negative. I didn't say there aren't any positives to wind power. I think it is a balanced part of an alternative energy solution. That is takes so many people resources is a worry though.
- philipkglass 10y agoThe human labor required to produce a MWh of electricity from utility-scale wind or solar plants is significantly less than the labor that went into producing it from older fossil plants. The growing employment numbers you see in solar/wind right now are mostly an artifact of rapid expansion. American coal plant construction employment is about zero right now and all you see is the operational labor; solar/wind are growing quickly and what you mostly see are the temporary construction jobs. See e.g. my comment here (search for "Nucla"): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13749769 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13749769 A utility scale solar farm can be more than an order of magnitude more productive per employee than an old coal plant. So can a utility scale wind farm. MidAmerican's Wind VIII project has 40 permanent jobs and generated 3,622,316 MWh in 2016 (10.33 real annualized megawatts per employee). https://www.midamericanenergy.com/content/pdf/wind_facts.pdf https://www.midamericanenergy.com/content/pdf/wind_facts.pdf https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58883/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58883/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58884/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58884/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58885/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58885/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58886/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/plant/58886/ (The EIA data for Wind VIII is spread across these sub-projects.) Utility-scale wind and solar are also thriftier with labor than nuclear plants. Old coal plant: 0.87 real annualized MW/full time employee (0.57 megawatts per employee if you include the fuel mining jobs) New AP1000 reactors at Vogtle, assuming 90% capacity factor: 2.5 real MW/FTE Desert Sunlight solar farm: 9.8 real MW/FTE Wind VIII wind complex: 10.3 real MW/FTE
- firebones 10y agoAny infrastructure project will require more people while it is being built out, and the rate of job growth will scale with the rate of build out. That isn't a negative or a worry. If the market becomes saturated, the growth will stop and a lot of the jobs will no longer be needed.
- maxerickson 10y agoThe negative of employing more people is pretty abstract if the power costs about the same for end users.
- vkou 10y agoIt's not if you're a politician. "Fewer jobs! More efficiency!" is a surefire way to not get elected. Your constituents have to eat.
- jnordwick 10y agoDownvoted for basic economic on HN as usual. Why is this site so economically illiterate?
- maxerickson 10y agoLabor efficiency is only part of the picture.
- chris_va 10y agoThat's the beauty of capitalism. You can just let it run its course and not worry about it. If something is less efficient, it will not be able to compete in the market for very long.
- jnordwick 10y agoMy basic idea was that when seeing this headline people don't go "more people? great!" but instead go "more people? how can we fix that?"
- chris_va 10y agoThat is a good entrepreneurial instinct. If you or a competitor comes in and can create the same value with fewer people, then that drives consumer prices down, which is one of the end goals. Having said that, there is nothing wrong with employing more people, as long as they are creating marginal economic value. Hiring 10 people to make $10M is better than 5 people to make $9M for a company.
- ralfd 10y agoMany energy sources require subsidies though.
- toomuchtodo 10y agoWind and solar are competitive with coal and natural gas without subsidies.
- nawitus 10y agoRegardless, there are subsidies for wind power, which may even be the cause for the "wind boom": https://www.fool.com/investing/2016/12/21/subsidies-drive-us-wind-boom-late-in-2016.aspx https://www.fool.com/investing/2016/12/21/subsidies-drive-us...
- toomuchtodo 10y ago
- ryanwaggoner 10y agoSince you're complaining about downvotes (which I also downvoted), I'll explain why I downvoted: Your complaint doesn't make any sense by itself. You're assuming that they're doing the same or less with more people. I have no idea where you got that idea. Wind is growing rapidly, so the fact that they're employing more people is expected and a good thing. You can't complain about efficiency with only the numerator.
- x1798DE 10y agoThis is true, but it is annoying to tout the number of jobs as if it's a benefit, not a cost. It should be kilowatt-hours / human hour, or some measure of labor productivity if you want to show serviced, or some measure of actual output if you want to show the magnitude of the sector, or both. Giving raw number of "jobs" requires a lot of assumptions about the sector to make it into useful information. Not to mention, the other comments in this thread do seem to be treating jobs as if they are a benefit, not a cost.
- jnordwick 10y agoHe's just being disingenuous with that statement. He isn't hold those cheering the jobs numbers to the same standard.
- oconnore 10y agoIf you magically increased the wind industry tomorrow by a factor of 31.2 to supply the entire US electricity demand of 4369TWh, you would have to employ 3.1 million people. That's only ~4 times the size of the US employment numbers for gas/coal (and luckily this was only a thought experiment to demonstrate that you are concern trolling, real industries don't grow without massive efficiency improvements along the way).
- twoodfin 10y agoRequiring 4X the labor to produce the same amount of energy is a big deal! Even just a million more workers would translate into $50B or more in cost, or $500/year for the average household.
- ubernostrum 10y agoOK, so apply your logic: we should never construct any new buildings, since that requires more people (during the construction period) than maintaining an existing building. Obviously this means new buildings are inherently inefficient, and only someone who was economically illiterate would want to put up a new one. Right?