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The headline for this piece is clickbait. AlphaGo is AI, it's just not strong AI. No AI is strong AI for the moment, but that doesn't mean that the AI we have i
by vonnik 10y ago
The headline for this piece is clickbait. AlphaGo is AI, it's just not strong AI. No AI is strong AI for the moment, but that doesn't mean that the AI we have is uninteresting or a dead end, as the author seems to think.
The author and his editors deliberately conflate the two terms in the headline, and clarify after about a paragraph. Sure, AlphaGo is not strong AI. And Abraham Lincoln is dead. And there are lots of other things everyone knows that don't deserve to be in the news.
Jean-Christophe Baillie wrote this piece. He has done some work in AI and computer vision, and he had the opportunity here to write a piece that reflected that expertise. Instead he made a rather facile point that is similar to saying "Graffiti isn't art." That argument won't lead anywhere interesting.
He rehashes the Chomsky-ian argument about meaning. That AI's won't understand meaning until they can connect representations to the world. Then he makes the point that this requires embodiment, that they have a physical body in space through which they connect to the world. I don't believe either of these are necessary requirements for AI.
An AI that solves a lot of problems better than humans, and transfers that learning across many problems with relative ease, is getting close to strong AI. It doesn't really matter whether the machine constructs meaning to itself or not. It doesn't have to be humanlike to be strong. Secondly, AIs can train perfectly well in virtual environments. They don't have to be embodied as robots to be considered strong. We can model the world with enough complexity to give AIs problems that, if solved, might define them as strong.
- halflings 10y agoRE:the embodiment/robotics argument, notice that he has a vested interest in this field: > Several research labs are now trying to go further into acquiring grammar, gestures, and more complex cultural conventions using this approach, in particular the AI Lab that I founded at Aldebaran, the French robotics company—now part of the SoftBank Group.
- partycoder 10y agoVery disappointing article indeed. Alpha Go is an AI project with historical relevance, that had a well specified and measurable goal, which is beating humans in a game that requires to develop an intuition for moves rather than just reading moves in advance. Having said that I don't understand what's the point of trying to delegitimize the significance of Alpha Go. Implementing what we call "intuition" is not a minor thing. In contrast, I encountered the Pepper robot in a mall in SF. It was almost impossible to interact with it, so if there is going to be a critique, why not starting from one of his own projects.
- mannykannot 10y agoThe first Chomskyan argument looks plausible (though still speculative) to me, but I share your skepticism of the ‘embodiment problem’ claim that a body and rich set of senses are necessary prerequisites. Anyone seduced by that argument should consider the life story of Helen Keller, who did have two-way interaction with the world, but only through the biological equivalent of a teletype.
- russdill 10y agoThat and virtual environments are continuing to grow in richness.
- eli_gottlieb 10y ago>I share your skepticism of the ‘embodiment problem’ claim that a body and rich set of senses are necessary prerequisites. Anyone seduced by that argument should consider the life story of Helen Keller, who did have two-way interaction with the world, but only through the biological equivalent of a teletype. Helen Keller had smell, taste, touch, and proprioception all functioning. In what way did she have no senses but a teletype?
- mannykannot 10y agoI was just looking for an analogy suggesting low bandwidth and experientially lean.
- eli_gottlieb 10y agoI mean, yes, it's low bandwidth, but it's actually high dimensionality, which has information-theoretic advantages.
- mannykannot 10y agoLow-bandwidth is something of an understatement, especially when we consider activities like language acquisition, where smell, taste and proprioception play little part. Are the advantages of the dimensionality of this case sufficient to rescue the author's assertion that the embodiment problem requires robotics for its solution? Note that he used vision in his examples. It occurred to me later that one can argue that Helen Keller, like the rest of us, was born with a brain shaped by hundreds of millions of years of interacting with the environment. I do not doubt that interaction is probably an essential part of us getting to AI, but I doubt that physical embodiment is the only way to do it.
- Macuyiko 10y agoTotally agree, and very happy to see this statement at the top of HN. I'm against hyping up AI or misinterpreting it just as much as the next guy (especially coming from a position where dealing with a lot of higher-management people has made me very wary of articles and vision-pieces from the other end of the spectrum that are all like "invest now in AI or lose it all"), but this is just clickbait for the sake of enjoying playing devil's advocate. AlphaGo solved one of the hardest challenges which we believed to be very far out in the future before it came along. I'd say the field is on the right -- and very exciting -- track; people just need to learn to approach it in a clear-headed manner. Good on IEEE though for welcoming opposing viewpoints.
- dwringer 10y agoI wouldn't say the challenge has been "solved" - the system may have only been able to win consistently because the programmers made adjustments and improvements to it between each game. Fitting its heuristics to a specific opponent might actually be overfitting unless it can consistently win against all challengers without being modified between rounds. [edited to clarify uncertainty about "why" it was able to win]
- kirrent 10y agoAlphaGo played plenty of games online after the Lee Seedol match. It went 60-0 against some of the worlds best players. Granted they were fast games but that's a challenge for AlphaGo as well as its adversaries.
- dwringer 10y agoThank you for this information, it will definitely be interesting to see how the future of Go plays out. For example, will players be able to train with AlphaGo to the point of being able to beat it?
- kirrent 10y agoEven more interesting to me is the question of if Go players will be able to apply the novel strategies of AlphaGo which break with decades of conventional wisdom or if there's something in their execution that requires such perfect play (but leads to a more certain outcome) that they're only feasibly played by AlphaGo.
- flashman 10y agoIs AlphaGo really what we want to classify as 'intelligence'? It is a calculating engine – one which outperforms humans, to be sure, but no more intelligent than a properly-wielded pocket calculator.
- matt4077 10y agoYes – stuff like this is confusing 'intelligence' with 'sentience'. Playing go or chess would have been classified as activities clearly requiring intelligence in the recent past. We're just moving the goalpost whenever AI advances. At some point, it'll probably divide mankind into fractions which either want or don't want to grant certain rights to AI (possibly obsoleted by the great AI uprising of 2025-20-11 6:45:23am to 2025-20-11 6:45:25am)
- jacquesm 10y agoI don't think it is quite that simple. The 'real world' is not nearly as nicely ordered and specified as a turns based game is. So a computer will be ideally positioned to take advantage of its ability to: - remember perfectly, forever - execute algorithms at extreme speed - in parallel So you end up with a race that is comparable to a sparrow against a jet airplane. Technology can and does beat biology regularly in all sorts of domains. Slowly but surely computers are making their way into the real world: their programmers - and by extension the systems - learn how to adapt to the messiness of interacting with life as we know it. Just like you'd first get kids to play in a playground (the games) and then let them loose in the real world (self driving cars and other much harder tasks). In the end, all of these amount to a slow but steady march towards human equivalence on a large range of tasks, and excelling humans on plenty of them. The hard AI question is one where we ask ourselves whether or not there will one of these days be a system that is better than humans on essentially all tasks without exception, including learning, creativity and so on. Once you reach that level all bets are off, until then the slow-but-steady march continues. The difference is evolution vs revolution, but we've already seen enough progress in limited AI domains that we could conclude we're already seeing a minimal revolution. Whether it will result in a major one is still an open question, it could easily be that progress will at some point plateau.
- dahauns 10y agoSo, basically the Chinese Room brouhaha all over again...
- taneq 10y agoJust wait, next they'll discover the trolley problem and claim that self-driving vehicles will have to be philosophers.
- lukedoolittle 10y agoTis already happening. http://www.businessinsider.com/self-driving-cars-already-deciding-who-to-kill-2016-12 http://www.businessinsider.com/self-driving-cars-already-dec...
- benibela 10y agoAnd this will be the outcome: http://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/self-driving-car-ethics http://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/self-driving-car-ethics
- unityByFreedom 10y agoIt's not clickbait. You're being pedantic. It's clear the author meant true / general / strong AI and was merely addressing the hype of some non-AI researchers. It's a response to people who think because of AlphaGo that we are on the cusp of achieving true / strong / general AI. > An AI that solves a lot of problems better than humans, and transfers that learning across many problems with relative ease, is getting close to strong AI. We're not close. See Yann LeCun's statement on AI after AlphaGo [1] and the HN response [2] [1] https://www.facebook.com/yann.lecun/posts/10153426023477143 https://www.facebook.com/yann.lecun/posts/10153426023477143 [2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11280744 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11280744
- psyc 10y agoI have always found the idea that there's a hard line between strong and not-strong AI extremely naive. The whole thing is a long gradient of progress. Strong AI is going to creep up on most programmers like the proverbial boiling frog, and internet forums will be full of people denying its existence throughout that process.
- unityByFreedom 10y ago> I have always found the idea that there's a hard line between strong and not-strong AI extremely naive You probably haven't studied much or any AI. In my opinion, those who haven't researched a subject don't understand the details and are likely to make more inaccurate predictions than experts.
- psyc 10y agoWhat a randomly self-serving assumption to make.
- randcraw 10y agoI can't agree. If we can blur the difference between weak and strong AI, that 'transitional form' (missing link?) will be enormously important to the future of AI (and mankind). In the past 50 years, AI has seen hundreds of small successes in narrow tasks that used to require humans. But none so far has shown the potential to scale up, generalize, and serve tasks other than the narrow one for which it was designed. Like IBM Watson, AlphaGo too is likely to be consigned to the AI scrapheap in the sky. BUT... the deep net technique used by AlphaGo shows more promise to solve the remaining unsolved AI tasks than any AI method before it. Yes, we still don't know DL's limits, like whether it can integrate one-shot learning, or build and reuse a diverse knowledgebase, or transfer specific methods to solve new more general problems. But as of right now, it's shown greater promise to solve novel weak AI tasks than any past technique I've seen. The author overlooks that potential deliberately and provocatively, and IMO, pointlessly. Can DL scale up into strong AI too? I think the important thing here isn't that the answer isn't obviously yes (as the author posits), but that the answer isn't obviously no. And in the 50+ year quest for strong AI, that's a first, at least for me.
- hartator 10y agoI think we can agree to disagree on the definition of intelligence. Intelligence implies a lot more than pattern recognition. Current state is just a better way to treat large quantity of data. The smart is to feed the computer the right way with good data, iterate through different ways the computer can guess a model from the data and finally interpret the final results. Computers doesn't know how to do that. Yet.
- zamalek 10y ago> The smart is to feed the computer the right way with good data, iterate through different ways the computer can guess a model from the data and finally interpret the final results. That's exactly how AlphaGo was trained.
- pertymcpert 10y agoNot very up to date are you...
- danmaz74 10y ago> things everyone knows Everyone in the field. There are many more people outside of the field though.
- yourapostasy 10y ago> ...requires embodiment, that they have a physical body in space through which they connect to the world. I don't believe either of these are necessary requirements for AI. This is very interesting. In the human realm, there is the celebrated case history example of Helen Keller, who progressively developed her blindness and deafness over a period of years. She would arguably "pass" whatever tests that were administered for evaluating a strong AI. However, walking backwards from that, towards case histories where patients were born deaf and blind, they also could pass those kinds of tests. But add more sensory disabilities, and it becomes murkier. Has anyone performed a detailed survey of medical histories? Is there a point beyond which lack of a specific set of senses leads to sapience incapacitation 100% of documented instances in humans? Could that be a promising lead to build a virtual environment that simulates a minimum threshold of senses?
- 000000000000000 10y agoAlso, AIs are not constrained by senses shared with humans. Our information passing is mediated by few inputs — a stream of light as a matrix within a very narrow range of possible spectra; a stream of air pressure decoded into frequency series; touch etc. AIs could have many more modes of input and output. Also… it seems weird to consider having “human” inputs embodied but having direct access to information stored elsewhere as not — surely there’s disk platters, SSDs and other devices existing in the real world, no?
- yourapostasy 10y agoAbsolutely correct, more senses are definitely available to an AGI. In the context of building an AGI that possesses "like a human" implied or directly in the evaluation criteria, and the thesis that embodiment of senses is a prerequisite to fulfilling that criteria, we don't know whether or not more senses than human might thwart the development of the first AGI. We currently believe that more senses than "normal" tends to lead to neuro-atypical development like autism, so there is some evidence for caution against tossing in all the inputs we can imagine, based upon current thinking (I wonder if that thinking is based upon empirical fMRI scans). We do have the corpus of data built up by humans however, that says "no known cases in medical history of sapience failing to develop with this minimal set of senses". My cursory search says hearing and sight are not necessary. Leaving us with smell, taste, and touch. Smell and taste are closely interlinked, so there is a possibility that a simulated smell-taste and touch are all that is required to "bootstrap" the first AGI, so to speak. Your point recalls to mind the scene in Battlestar Galactica (the reboot) where Cavil fulminates "I don't want to be human". [1] I suspect once we boostrap the first AGI, you are absolutely correct, we will rapidly add more senses to the AGI's repertoire. But we only have one data point for a template to build AGI off of, ourselves, so I also suspect the first AGI will somewhat resemble us. If so, and if the embodiment principle is one of the right routes to take, then it makes sense to me to simulate what we empirically determine as the minimum sense set, and then expand from there. Walk before we run, so to speak. It wouldn't hurt for someone investigating the embodiment principle to build for as many senses as they can envision, though. Many eyes, and all that, for attacking the problem space. I'm just expressing an uninformed gut feeling here, as I am not in the AI research space. [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pM3CptVZDYU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pM3CptVZDYU
- ralfd 10y ago> Then he makes the point that this requires embodiment, that they have a physical body in space He makes even a stronger curious claim: That "This realization is often called the “embodiment problem” and most researchers in AI now agree that intelligence and embodiment are tightly coupled issues." That makes it sound like it is a consensus between researchers, that strong AI requires a robotic body. Which I doubt.
- randcraw 10y agoSo do I. But I'm mindful of the flawed assumptions made by the best minds in symbolic AI from the 1950's to the 1980's that AI required no more than raw facts and logic. Let's not repeat that mistake. I'm intrigued by the potential of deep nets to 'simulate' the bases for symbolic grounding using something like thought vectors (TVs), especially if they can be revised and augmented through personal experience. Bootstrapping one's knowledgebase using someone else's rich set of TVs may go a long way for an AI to become grounded vicariously.
- externalities88 10y agoSo it's "qualified" AI. I don't see the point in making and debating the difference. I'll just stick the nomenclature most agree with, "machine learning", and not bother with another superfluous debate