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Regarding your airplane example, it's actually the opposite: plane crashes are so infrequent that you have to believe "I am special" (with a negative twist) if
by semi-extrinsic 10y ago
Regarding your airplane example, it's actually the opposite: plane crashes are so infrequent that you have to believe "I am special" (with a negative twist) if you think you are likely to be in a crash.
- timthorn 10y agoThey're a lot more frequent than many realise: http://www.planecrashinfo.com/database.htm http://www.planecrashinfo.com/database.htm & https://aviation-safety.net/database/ https://aviation-safety.net/database/ Although per passenger mile, it's true that air is very safe overall.
- marcosdumay 10y agoScheduled flights inside or between advanced countries are incredibly safe. Unscheduled flights and any flights in non advanced¹ countries aren't that safe. The overall statistics are not useful for evaluating your next trip. You must use the ones from your cohort. 1 - Mostly, the countries with broken governments. If human rights aren't respected, that's a great predictor that flights aren't safe.