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Bad polling data is a more likely culprit for the confusion. There's some cognitive dissonance involved when the months of poll numbers and projections turn ou
by CoolGuySteve 10y ago
Bad polling data is a more likely culprit for the confusion. There's some cognitive dissonance involved when the months of poll numbers and projections turn out to be completely wrong.
Between the Brexit, the Canadian Liberal party sweep, and this election, there is some methodology error in modern polling in the English speaking world that needs to be figured out.
- matwood 10y agoI think people have simply started lying to polls because any opinion you may hold will get you labeled the boogie man word of the day.
- strictnein 10y agoI enjoy being polled. I find the questions they ask fascinating, especially the push polls, where they ask you your preference, say something stupid about a candidate, and then ask you if that changed your opinion (more or less).
- Houshalter 10y agoThe real issue is the change in the phone system. Pollsters used to just dial a random number in the telephone book. Now most numbers are unlisted, and most people won't answer the phone to strangers (or the people that do answer are rather unrepresentative, at least.) All polling methods require getting a random sample of the voting population to be accurate. That's super hard, perhaps impossible.