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Bookies taking bets on the election. Only a moron would have bet on trump with 80% chance of a Hilary win estimated. Heck, even trump clearly didn't think he w
by ryuker16 10y ago
Bookies taking bets on the election.
Only a moron would have bet on trump with 80% chance of a Hilary win estimated. Heck, even trump clearly didn't think he would win judging by his claims the election wold be rigged before it began.
- tomp 10y agoOnly a moron would believe such odds, especially after happened to Brexit (odds were the same on the night before the result).
- ryuker16 10y agoUp until a few hours before trump took Florida, the traditional news sites were discussing how big a sweep for Clinton and if Republic would loose the house.
- somehnreader 10y agoI won £20 with a £5 stake at my local bookies. Wouldn't really count that as 'making money' though.
- rflrob 10y agoIf the bookies are doing their jobs right, they'll make money either way. They set up the market, and the people who think Trump's odds are better than 20 percent will pay 20c for the shot at winning a bit less than a dollar, the bookie shouldn't let them buy it unless there's also someone who thinks $0.80 to win a bit less than a dollar sounds good. The bookie then holds onto the full dollar they get, and then pay out (say) 97 cents on {inauguration, electoral college vote, whatever}.
- mvdwoord 10y agoIf there was a 1% chance of outcome x, and I offered you 1000 to 1 odds, would you be a moron to take the bet, just because there is only 1% chance of winning it? Please call me. This moron put in EUR 100 yesterday at 4:1.
- gadders 10y agoI must be a moron then as I won £200+ Man, that stupid is really feeling bad right now.
- acedinlowball 10y agoSarcasm is the mark of an immature child. Improve yourself.
- gadders 10y agoI think sarcasm is a pretty appropriate response to being called a moron.
- seanmcdirmid 10y agoBets for a Trump win were reasonable as a hedge.