4 ms·
VR is fast approaching the hype-cycle "Trough of Disillusionment" as well as the chasm of "Crossing the Chasm". Expect to see a whole lot more doom-saying over
by corysama 10y ago
VR is fast approaching the hype-cycle "Trough of Disillusionment" as well as the chasm of "Crossing the Chasm". Expect to see a whole lot more doom-saying over the next couple of years.
What will happen is the same story that plays out with every breakthrough technology. Now that we have the early implementations in consumer's hands, everyone will expect everything and a pony immediately if not sooner. But, the reality will be that there are still a lot of very difficult problems to overcome that will still take years to sort out. So, the general consensus will overestimate in the short term and underestimate in the long term by large margins. In the end, VR will make a very large difference in a whole lot of people's lives. But, it won't deliver <insert-magical-fantasy-situation-here> on any predictable timeline. So, people will say it turned out "OK, I guess".