Maybe an unpopular opinion here, but I agree with the article overall. My view is less that programming is going away, and more that all jobs are. Not immedia

Maybe an unpopular opinion here, but I agree with the article overall. My view is less that programming is going away, and more that all jobs are. Not immediately or anything, but I don't think we are going to magically produce programming jobs for all the masses who are going to need a job. Having been at this over 15 years I have single handedly automated thousands of jobs, and of those a healthy handful are making things more efficient that a project needs less programmers, etc.. So while we will still need programmers probably forever , I'm not sure why people think that the number of programming jobs will do anything but stay the same or decrease, while the number of candidates increases. Tooling has come so far, and it's going to go farther. You don't need to know a lot to make something meaningful anymore. How we expect to train all children to be programmers and think that by the time they are our age it will still be a field that is lucrative is silly I think. My prediction is with all the new programmers coming into the field intersecting with the tooling getting better, intersecting with that a lot of other markets need less people I think we are left with a crowded field of players where the average skill level is lower because the tasks do not require it to be all that high any more. Programming is the new carpentry. Probably jobs for a long time , but training the children now like it's going to be the most amazing career path is short sighted I think. Considering this, I hope my kids don't pick programming as a career. I would love to be wrong.