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> It's not hard to get a 1 in 10 chance of 9.5x return or a 1 in 100 chance of a 95x return Does 2x on $100 leave me a total of $200 or $300. > What you want i

> It's not hard to get a 1 in 10 chance of 9.5x return or a 1 in 100 chance of a 95x return Does 2x on $100 leave me a total of $200 or $300. > What you want is a 1 in 3 chance of a 30x return within 5 years Obviously, that will be hard to find. If you did 100 of those, you'd be getting a 10x return in 5 years. My original question to the poster stands. Are you looking for a real long shot, or something with a decent chance of paying off?

alphabetaprune 17y ago
To answer your question. My original thinking in setting aside $50k was to expose myself to "positive black swans." I'm looking to place a series of improbable bets such that if one pays off in a major way... I do like the idea of investing in an angel fund to get my feet wet. I'll consider that.