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What the nine debris finds may tell us about the MH370 end point
- zeristor 10y agoI posted this about the MH370 search strategy a week ago, after reading a book on Bayes statistics [0] [0] - https://www.atsb.gov.au/media/5733804/Bayesian_Methods_MH370_Search_3Dec2015.pdf https://www.atsb.gov.au/media/5733804/Bayesian_Methods_MH370...
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- dmix 10y agoIt would be interesting if this crash location was an accidental side effect of a pilot/hijackerhijacker. Making it crash in the most remote location, following a very hard to follow path fully out of sight of modern tech.
- tremon 10y agoThis is explored in another article, the "controlled ditch" scenario: http://www.duncansteel.com/archives/2601 http://www.duncansteel.com/archives/2601 It is a possible scenario, although I have yet to see a reason for anyone to do this (as the article shows, it would require quite deliberate planning).
- nikdaheratik 10y agoFrom everything we know, the most likely scenario is some in flight issue killed the crew and passengers. The pilot managed to redirect the course before succumbing and the auto pilot just kept the plane to that heading until the fuel ran out. The difficulty of tracking may be partially due to whatever damage was caused to the system and just bad luck in that the heading was straight out to the Indian ocean.
- alimw 10y agoI'm no expert on ocean current modelling but it seems to me you should multiply the probabilities from each find, not add them up.
- Mendenhall 10y agoI keep thinking they need to put a black box on the top of these planes that auto ejects at the first sign of crashing and can float etc.
- rbf 10y agoOr just continously upload the data to the internet, should be quite feasible these days with satellites everywhere.
- raverbashing 10y agoIf they had sent position, altitude and heading every minute (which requires very little bandwidth) literally millions of dollars would have been saved with both AF447 (which had ACARS info every 10min) and MH370
- lloeki 10y agoYou seem to be underestimating the extent of areas in the world where bandwidth is effectively zero in all practical scenarios
- ryanlol 10y agoIridium is available pretty much everywhere, you don't need much bandwidth to transmit your location.
- james32322 10y agoOr use inmarsat which is available precicly everywhere. They have 100% world coverage.
- raverbashing 10y agoNo I am not. You can use satellite communications for that. See this for possible alternatives: https://www.bea.aero/uploads/tx_elyextendttnews/flight.data.recovery.working.group.final.report.pdf https://www.bea.aero/uploads/tx_elyextendttnews/flight.data....