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I disagree. While the number of cars may plummet initially, when you share cars between multiple people, the mileage on those cars is going to increase dramatic
by sauwan 10y ago
I disagree. While the number of cars may plummet initially, when you share cars between multiple people, the mileage on those cars is going to increase dramatically. Shared cars may end up hitting 300,000 miles in 5 years rather than 15.
Unless self driving cars dramatically increase the lifespan of the average car, things will balance out in a few years.
- pbhjpbhj 10y agoDo first owners sell their cars because they become unusable or because they become unfashionable or some other reason? In two car households does the second car primarily get purchased for use when the first car is sitting idle but just in the wrong location? Might there be a change in ownership as a sort of "buy-to-let" system comes in where owners wouldn't be able to buy an autonomous vehicle but afford it as they send the vehicle out to work doing deliveries/taxiing people during the times they don't need it? It seems quite hard to predict how autonomous vehicles will change things; a lot of it will depend on regulations on how they're manned - will a driver with a license still be required at all times? Will there be new licenses? Will autonomous vehicles have extra restrictions on their speed or which roads they use? Will there be protectionist laws to prevent them picking up and taxiing people? The surrounding legislation will probably be as important to the way the evolution of car use happens.