4 ms·
Nate Silver on twitter: No, I didn't predict the the Republican Party would lose it's fucking mind.
by boothead 10y ago
Nate Silver on twitter:
No, I didn't predict the the Republican Party would lose it's fucking mind.
- mozumder 10y agoHow could he, of all people, have not seen this coming? Trump basically "primaried" his way to the nomination by going hard right to appeal to the Republican talk-radio base. He'll lose of, course, in the general, but that's the basic strategy of winning any Republican nomination. Many, many Republicans have won their local primaries only to lose in the general.
- gallonofmilk 10y agoif we go by number of followers on Twitter, Trump will be winning his way to the white house
- whatok 10y agoI don't think you can go by the previous "many Republicans" and say that Trump is going to fall prey to the same things they did. I'm not saying he's unstoppable and I'm not saying you have to throw out all conventional wisdom but he's at least so far defied most expectations (which of course are mostly based on historical data)
- mahranch 10y agoHe's only defied expectations within his own party. The U.S consists of more than the republican party; You have independents, third parties and the democrats. So sure, he'll have those hard right neocons voting for him, but what about everyone else? What about the moderate (disenfranchised) republicans? Or the independents and democrats? I'm sorry, but I haven't met a single independent or democrat who said they'd vote for Trump. He's about as polarizing as they come. He'll get creamed in the general election. I'll go so far as to say that it will be the biggest landslide in history. I'm talking double digits.
- shawabawa3 10y agoNow that he's won the primary he can drop all the hard-right crap he's been saying and try to win over some independents and democrats. He's never going to lose the hard right republicans to hillary so he doesn't have much to lose by completely flipping on a lot of issues
- whatok 10y agoThis is how I see it. I would also guess that a much larger portion of Sanders voters will not vote in the general vs everyone else who voted against Trump in the primary.
- Amezarak 10y agoAs far as I can tell, neoconservatives are horrified by Trump and believe (maybe incorrectly) that he is an isolationist, for entitlements, and against free trade, which is antithetical to their political beliefs. Cruise on by the National Review or Red State and it's all panic and doom and gloom and "#nevertrump".
- vixen99 10y agoI expect he said its fucking mind. One hopes so.