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"He predicted that, 50 years from now, electric aeroplanes would be "transporting up to 50 people"." Shame the mega storms that are swirling the planet at that

"He predicted that, 50 years from now, electric aeroplanes would be "transporting up to 50 people"." Shame the mega storms that are swirling the planet at that point will probably rip the planes out of the sky. 50 years too late if you ask me.

chinathrow 11y ago
What megastorms? Did I miss anything?
- johnchristopher 11y ago
  GP might be referring to that http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/megastorms-could-down-massive-portions-of-california/ http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/megastorms-could-d... Megastorms Could Drown Massive Portions of California Huge flows of vapor in the atmosphere, dubbed "atmospheric rivers," have unleashed massive floods every 200 years, and climate change could bring more of them
- throwaway5752 11y ago
  To busy to find links, but the gist is that Greenland Ice Sheet melting disrupts the conveyor currents that transport heat energy between the equator and the poles. Coupled w/ greater warming, the higher temperature differential would support stronger and more frequent cyclonic storms (supported by models, current trends, and archeological evidence).
  - stevetrewick 11y ago
    "The total number of hurricanes (particularly after being adjusted for improvements in observation methods) and the number reaching the United States do not indicate a clear overall trend since 1878" https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/weather-climate/cyclones.html https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/weathe... "Trends in tropical cyclone activity in the Australian region (south of the equator; 90–160°E) show that the total number of cyclones appears to have decreased to the mid 1980s, and remained nearly stable since. The number of severe tropical cyclones (minimum central pressure less than 970 hPa) is dominated by variability with periods of lower and higher frequencies of occurrence." http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/climatology/trends.shtml http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/climatology/trends.shtml "Similarly, the trend in intense tropical cyclones (minimum central pressure below 970 hPa) is not significantly different from zero." https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/091.htm https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/091.htm Or did you mean current trends in something else?
    - gozur88 11y ago
      Yep. All the falsifiable predictions have turned out to be, well, false.
mspokoiny 11y ago
I hope it would be earlier, 25-30 years maximum

chinathrow 11y ago

What megastorms? Did I miss anything?

johnchristopher 11y ago
GP might be referring to that http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/megastorms-could-down-massive-portions-of-california/ http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/megastorms-could-d... Megastorms Could Drown Massive Portions of California Huge flows of vapor in the atmosphere, dubbed "atmospheric rivers," have unleashed massive floods every 200 years, and climate change could bring more of them
throwaway5752 11y ago
To busy to find links, but the gist is that Greenland Ice Sheet melting disrupts the conveyor currents that transport heat energy between the equator and the poles. Coupled w/ greater warming, the higher temperature differential would support stronger and more frequent cyclonic storms (supported by models, current trends, and archeological evidence).
- stevetrewick 11y ago
  "The total number of hurricanes (particularly after being adjusted for improvements in observation methods) and the number reaching the United States do not indicate a clear overall trend since 1878" https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/weather-climate/cyclones.html https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/weathe... "Trends in tropical cyclone activity in the Australian region (south of the equator; 90–160°E) show that the total number of cyclones appears to have decreased to the mid 1980s, and remained nearly stable since. The number of severe tropical cyclones (minimum central pressure less than 970 hPa) is dominated by variability with periods of lower and higher frequencies of occurrence." http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/climatology/trends.shtml http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/climatology/trends.shtml "Similarly, the trend in intense tropical cyclones (minimum central pressure below 970 hPa) is not significantly different from zero." https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/091.htm https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/091.htm Or did you mean current trends in something else?
  - gozur88 11y ago
    Yep. All the falsifiable predictions have turned out to be, well, false.

mspokoiny 11y ago

I hope it would be earlier, 25-30 years maximum