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This is awesome, finally AlphaGo has beaten Lee Sedol. Congratulations to the team at DeepMind and Google. But I will go straight to the really interesting poin
by nzonbi 11y ago
This is awesome, finally AlphaGo has beaten Lee Sedol. Congratulations to the team at DeepMind and Google. But I will go straight to the really interesting point: My completely baseless intuition tells me that we will have full AGI (artificial general intelligence) in 5-10 years. Maybe not very powerful at first, but a least working. Real general intelligence. I say this as a programmer with superficial knowledge on ML (machine learning). All that is needed is to figure a way, to make neural networks handle the flow of thoughts of human consciousness. Reasoning, short/long term memory, basic controlling "emotions", etc. Then to assemble this central thought unit, in a system with various neural networks to handle more specialized tasks: Vision, natural language processing, audition, motion,etc. The task is of course extremely difficult, but I have the feeling that it will be possible to overcome.
Once this have been achieved, it is downhill from there. The singularity. In my opinion, we must start to consider how this tremendous breakthrough will affect the human race. Our lives, economy, culture, etc. Awesome things we will be witnessing in the coming times. It would be great if it were possible to make public, the progress made researching specifically AGI. I wonder how big of an effort is currently being done. This would be possibly the biggest discovery ever for humanity. It deserves a fantastic effort.
- bgar 11y agoI don't know if you're serious, but how can you make such grand predictions, considering you yourself admit to having only superficial knowledge of machine learning?
- nzonbi 11y agoIt is just a guess. Human thought, although highly complex, is in my opinion something actually feasible to be simulated. If I had a large research budget under my control, I would be betting most of it on AGI.
- ilaksh 11y agoNo one can really predict the future. But given the number of times AI pessimists have been proven wrong in recent years and the massive increase in AI investment, my best guess is that truly human-level artificial general intelligence is in fact around the corner. Considering what a large impact this will have, we must take that possibility seriously. Not to do so would be foolish. AIs can play chess, recognize speech consistently, drive cars, win at Jeopardy and now Go. Deep Mind has some general capabilities. We must anticipate programs with even more general intelligence.
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- edavison1 11y ago"All that is needed is to figure a way, to make neural networks handle the flow of thoughts of human consciousness." Good luck with that!