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Personally I think the first "white collar" casualty of automation will be law. 90+% of law involves things like contract law and analysis of legal documents.
by api 11y ago
Personally I think the first "white collar" casualty of automation will be law.
90+% of law involves things like contract law and analysis of legal documents. All of that can be replaced by natural language processing, machine learning, etc. I envision "contract compilers" that produce contracts based on compact specs and other things in the near term (5-10 years out) followed by total replacement of most lower-level legal work with AI/ML in the 15-30 year time frame.
In the end you will still have lawyers, but only to appear in courtrooms and do very high skill specialized legal analysis that involves a lot of conceptual thought. That will be a much smaller number of people than are employed in law today.
That's a lot of well-paying jobs that are going to vaporize.